Teck Resources Limited Q2 2026 Earnings Call
Key Takeaways
- Teck reported a strong second quarter 2026 with cash flow from operations of $1.7 billion and adjusted EBITDA tripling to $2.2 billion compared to the same period last year.
- Copper production increased by 25% year over year, with higher production across all copper operations and stable throughput and recoveries at QB.
- Net cash unit costs improved despite energy cost headwinds, driven by operational performance and favorable byproduct pricing.
- Adjusted EBITDA margins reached a record 61%, up from 36% in Q2 2025.
- The Highland Valley Mine Life Extension project is approximately 95% complete in detailed engineering, with $254 million invested in the quarter and capital expenditure guidance unchanged at $900 million to $1.2 billion for 2026.
- Zinc segment gross profit before depreciation and amortization increased 122% to $353 million, driven by strong performance at Trail operations and higher byproduct pricing.
- Teck increased its net cash position by $756 million during the quarter and $1 billion in the first half of 2026.
- The company continues to advance the merger of equals with Anglo American, focusing on securing remaining regulatory approvals and integration planning.
- No changes were made to previously disclosed annual guidance for copper and zinc production.
- Tailings management facility work at QB progressed with completion of Rock bench five and plans to potentially accelerate Rock bench six construction with an estimated $100 million capital investment this year.
- Safety performance remained strong with a high potential incident frequency rate of 0.08 and the Highland Valley project achieving 1,000,000 hours without a high potential incident or lost time injury.
Outlook
- The regulatory approval process in China for the Anglo American merger is progressing as expected with no requests for remedies or asset sales.
- Teck anticipates completing the merger transaction within 12 to 18 months of the September 2025 announcement.
- QB operations are expected to continue stable throughput and recoveries, with ongoing improvements in plant performance and tailings management.
- Highland Valley Mine Life Extension will extend mine life to 2046 with average annual copper production of approximately 132,000 tonnes.
- Zinc production at Red Dog will follow normal seasonal shipping patterns with shipments expected in the third quarter.
- Trail operations plan to increase refined zinc production in the third quarter and have scheduled maintenance shutdowns in the fourth quarter.
- Teck expects to maintain safe, stable, and reliable operating performance across its portfolio moving forward.
Guidance
- Annual guidance for copper production remains unchanged at 435,000 to 530,000 tonnes for 2026.
- Zinc production guidance remains unchanged with zinc in concentrate expected at 410,000 to 460,000 tonnes and refined zinc at 190,000 to 230,000 tonnes for 2026.
- Capital expenditure guidance for the Highland Valley Mine Life Extension project remains at $900 million to $1.2 billion for 2026 and $2.1 billion to $2.4 billion over the life of the project.
- Capitalized stripping guidance for the copper business remains at $450 million to $550 million for 2026.
- No expected impact on throughput rates from advancing Rock bench six at QB, with the decision on construction pending investment committee approval.
Executive Comments
- CEO Jonathan Price highlighted record copper prices, strong operational performance, and disciplined cost management as key drivers of the quarter's success.
- Price emphasized the importance of advancing the merger with Anglo American and integration planning to capture value.
- He noted the progress on tailings management at QB and the potential to accelerate infrastructure projects to enhance operational continuity.
- CFO Crystal Prystai detailed the financial results, including tripled adjusted EBITDA and strong cash flow generation, while maintaining disciplined capital allocation.
- Management expressed confidence in the safety culture, operational stability, and project execution across the portfolio.
- The company is encouraged by recent developments regarding indexation in Canada and continues to advocate for favorable outcomes.
- Teck is actively evaluating opportunities to optimize feed sources and expand processing capacity at Trail operations.
- Executives acknowledged ongoing work to improve recoveries and throughput at QB through stable operations and operational improvements.
- The company is focused on maintaining operational continuity and capturing synergies post-merger, with integration planning progressing intensively.
Q&A
- Advancing Rock bench six at QB is viewed as an acceleration and de-risking measure without direct impact on throughput rates.
- The regulatory approval process in China is proceeding normally with no requests for remedies or asset sales; transaction closure is expected within weeks after approval.
- Integration planning with Anglo American is well underway, focusing on operational continuity, organizational structure, leadership appointments, and synergy capture.
- The QB and Coyote copper growth opportunity is being actively pursued with formal studies and shareholder engagement underway.
- Rock bench six construction would widen the crest for permanent infrastructure installation, improving sand deposition efficiency and operational flexibility.
- The Antonina zinc pipeline shutdown during the quarter has been fixed and is back in operation.
- QB's focus is on achieving stable operations and incremental improvements rather than immediately pushing throughput to design rates.
- Trail's planned maintenance shutdowns in zinc and lead circuits in Q4 may moderate second-half profitability expectations.
- Indexation in Canada shows positive signs with S&P proposing criteria favorable to foreign issuers; consultation is open until August 21st.
- Trail's profitability depends on feed optimization and commodity prices, with plans to expand processing capacity rather than relying solely on recovery improvements.
- The Red Dog Mill project is rich in germanium; Teck is securing additional feed sources and offtake agreements to support Trail's operations.
- Decisions on feed sources prioritize Western suppliers, with ongoing evaluation of multiple options.
- Net cash unit costs have been below guidance so far; sensitivity to energy prices is about $0.01 per $10/barrel WTI for zinc and $0.03 for copper.
- Byproduct price volatility and energy costs create uncertainty, so guidance remains conservative.
- Debottlenecking and throughput optimization at QB are under evaluation, with a focus on stability and incremental improvements before larger projects.
- The company expects to maintain guidance ranges for production and costs, reflecting operational and market uncertainties.
This conference call is being recorded on Thursday, July 23rd, 2026. I would now like to turn the conference over to Emma Chapman, Vice President, Investor Relations. Please go ahead. Thank you, operator.
Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us for Teck's second quarter 2026 conference call. Today's call contains forward-looking statements. Actual results may vary due to various risks and uncertainties. Teck does not assume the obligation to update any forward-looking statements. Please refer to Slide 2 for the assumptions underlying our forward-looking statements. We will reference non-GAAP measures throughout this presentation. Explanations and reconciliations are in our MD&A and the latest press release on our website. On today's call, Jonathan Price, our CEO, will provide highlights for the second quarter of 2026. Crystal Prystai, our CFO, will follow with further details on our operational performance and financials in the quarter. Jonathan will wrap up with closing remarks and an opportunity for Q&A. With that, over to you, Jonathan.
Thank you, Emma. Good morning, everyone. We've delivered another quarter of strong operational and financial performance. We generated significantly higher earnings and robust cash flow in the second quarter of 2026, supported by favorable commodity prices, including another record quarterly average copper price. Compared with the same period last year, we generated cash flow from operations of CAD 1.7 billion and tripled adjusted EBITDA to CAD 2.2 billion. We also successfully managed our net cash unit costs despite energy cost headwinds, supported by stronger operational performance and favorable by-product pricing. As a result, we increased our net cash position by CAD 756 million during the quarter and CAD 1 billion in the first half of the year. Alongside this strong financial performance, we continue to make good progress against our near-term priorities to create shareholder value.
We are advancing our merger of equals with Anglo American, with our focus on securing the remaining regulatory approval. Meanwhile, integration planning is intensified to ensure we are ready to close shortly after approval is received. Operationally, we continue to build momentum across the business. Copper production increased by 25% compared with the second quarter of last year, with higher production across all our copper operations, coupled with continued strong sales volumes. We are delivering greater operational stability quarter by quarter through our continued focus on safe, reliable and consistent performance. There are no changes to our previously disclosed annual guidance. Importantly, this strong performance includes QB, where we achieved our third consecutive quarter of stable operations, an important step towards realizing the full value of this world-class asset.
During the quarter, we also continued to advance our Tailings Management Facility work at QB, including the completion of Rock Bench 5. I'll return later in the presentation to some of the TMF options currently under evaluation with the potential to further enhance operational continuity. At Highland Valley, we continue to advance the Mine Life Extension project, with detailed engineering now approximately 95% complete. Overall, this was another strong quarter that demonstrates disciplined execution across the business, reinforces the quality of our portfolio, and positions us well as we move towards completing our merger with Anglo American. Turning to the merger update on Slide five. The regulatory approval process in China continues to progress as expected, and we remain focused on engagement with the regulator. In parallel, integration planning continues to advance.
Our teams are working hard to ensure we are fully prepared to close the transaction promptly following receipt of the necessary approvals, while also continuing to develop our plans to capture the significant value creation opportunities available through the combination. Consistent with our original expectations, we continue to anticipate completing the transaction within 12 to 18 months of the September 2025 announcement. Turning to our focus on safe and stable operational performance, beginning with safety on Slide six. During the second quarter, our high potential incident frequency rate at Teck-controlled operations remained low at 0.08, broadly in line with our performance last year. Any safety incidents are thoroughly investigated, with corrective actions implemented to strengthen critical risk controls and reduce the likelihood of recurrence.
We are also very pleased that the Highland Valley Copper Mine Life Extension project has now achieved 1 million hours worked without a high potential incident or a lost time injury, reflecting the strong safety culture across the project team. Turning now to our operational performance on Slide seven. Copper production increased by almost 25% in the second quarter compared with the same period last year, with higher production across each of our operations, as shown in the chart on the left. This higher production, together with favorable commodity and by-product prices, drove a significant reduction in our net cash unit costs, more than offsetting the impact of higher energy prices. As a result, our profitability continued to strengthen, with adjusted EBITDA margins reaching a record 61%, up from 36% in the second quarter of 2025.
These results demonstrate how our continued focus on operational performance is translating into higher volumes, lower costs and improved financial returns. Turning to QB on Slide eight. As we continue to advance Tailings Management Facility development, we have not experienced any TMF-related downtime in the past three quarters, supporting improved asset utilization and operational consistency. As a result, QB produced 55,800 tons of copper during the quarter, compared with 52,700 tons in the same period last year, with stable throughput and recoveries and all key operating metrics tracking in line with our full-year guidance. During the planned maintenance shutdown in May, we completed several initiatives designed to optimize plant performance and increase throughput. We began to see the benefits of that work towards the end of the quarter, providing a solid foundation for continued operational improvement throughout the remainder of the year.
Overall, QB continues to demonstrate improving operational consistency, giving us increasing confidence in the long-term performance and value of this world-class asset. Looking at the QB TMF on slide nine. Progress on the TMF remains an important enabler of predictable operating performance at QB, and we made significant progress during the second quarter. As you can see from these photographs, we completed Rock Bench Five during the quarter, an important milestone that supports freeboard management through the remainder of the year. Completion of the cyclone station upgrades and increased paddock availability improved our sand deposition rates and supported continued progress towards planned TMF performance. As mentioned, there was no TMF-related downtime at the concentrator in the past three quarters, demonstrating the progress we've made in reducing operational constraints. Workers continue to optimize the supporting ancillary infrastructure required to accommodate higher sand deposition rates.
The construction of the secondary cyclone station should further improve our sand deposition performance. The latest progress on the QB TMF is reflected in our updated scorecard on slide 10. As I've already mentioned, we completed Rock Bench Five as planned. Looking ahead, we expect to complete installation of the secondary sand cyclone system by the end of the year, further strengthening the robustness of the tailings handling system and increasing its ability to manage variability in plant feed. Consistent with our QB action plan, we are progressing our evaluation of the timing and sequencing of the installation of the permanent TMF pipeline infrastructure, which will mechanically raise the tailings pipeline, supporting more efficient and optimized TMF performance.
As part of this assessment, we are evaluating opportunities to accelerate certain TMF activities, including the potential advancement of material placement currently planned for 2027 by constructing an additional rock bench this year. Proceeding with Rock Bench Six would allow the permanent pipeline infrastructure to be installed later this year, which is earlier than planned. This would provide greater operational flexibility during completion of the sand dam, reducing execution risk and supporting continued improvements in operating performance from a stable operating base. If we take the decision to proceed, construction of Rock Bench Six is expected to commence in late August or early September and be completed by around year-end, with an estimated capital investment of approximately $100 million US this year. Overall, we continue to make good progress on the TMF and are focused on opportunities to safely accelerate development and further strengthen the long-term reliability of QB operations.
Turning now to the Mine Life Extension at Highland Valley on slide 11. Construction continues to advance well, with the project achieving an important safety milestone of more than 1 million hours worked without any high-potential incidents or lost-time injuries. During the second quarter, we completed installation of the pilings for the mill upgrades and successfully executed the first integrated shutdown between the operation and the Mine Life Extension project. Detailed engineering is now approximately 95% complete. Procurement is nearing completion, and construction activity continues to ramp up across the site, including earthworks, pipelines, brownfield works, and supporting infrastructure. We invested CAD 254 million of project capital during the quarter, and our capital expenditure guidance remains unchanged at CAD 900 million to CAD 1.2 billion for 2026 and CAD 2.1 billion to CAD 2.4 billion over the life of the project.
Capitalized stripping activity is also expected to increase during the second half of the year as we prepare future mining areas. While higher diesel prices will have some impact, our guidance for capitalized stripping remains unchanged at CAD 450 million-CAD 550 million for the copper business. The Mine Life Extension will extend Highland Valley's mine life to 2046 while supporting average annual copper production of approximately 132,000 tons, reinforcing its position as a cornerstone asset in the copper portfolio. Overall, we are continuing to execute well across our portfolio with strong operational performance, supporting disciplined product delivery, and positioning the business well for the future. I will now hand over to Crystal to take you through the financial results in more detail.
Thanks, Jonathan. Good morning, everyone. Starting with an overview of our strong financial performance in Q2 2026 on slide 13. We delivered significantly stronger financial results in the second quarter, with adjusted EBITDA tripling to CAD 2.2 billion, compared with the same period last year. This performance was underpinned by strong copper production across all of our operations, including a third consecutive quarter of stable production at QB, together with higher commodity prices and increased by-product revenues. In addition, we significantly improved profitability at Trail Operations as we continue to focus on cash generation through value-driven optimization of feed sources and production. As a result, our adjusted EBITDA margin increased to a record 61%. Our strong earnings in the second quarter translated into robust cash generation, with CAD 1.7 billion of cash flow from operations contributing to a CAD 756 million increase in our net cash position over the quarter.
We also returned CAD 61 million to shareholders through payment of our regular quarterly-based dividend. Looking now at the key drivers of our higher profitability in Q2 2026 on slide 14. The increase in adjusted EBITDA was primarily driven by significantly higher commodity prices, including favorable pricing adjustments and stronger by-product pricing. Higher copper production and sales volumes, and higher volumes of by-products also made significant contributions. Overall, operating costs were lower year-on-year, more than offsetting higher oil prices, while lower smelter processing charges also provided a benefit. These positive factors were partially offset by higher royalties and profit sharing as a result of higher profitability at our operations. Turning to our Copper segment now on slide 15. Compared with Q2 last year, gross profit before depreciation and amortization more than doubled to CAD 1.8 billion, with margins substantially higher at 65% compared with 46% a year ago.
This stronger performance was driven by record copper prices together with higher production across all operations. Higher copper production reflects higher throughput across our operations, as well as higher grades at Highland Valley and Antamina as expected. QB delivered its third consecutive quarter of stable operations, with copper production increasing to 55,800 tons from 52,700 tons in the same period last year. Our copper net cash unit costs improved by 19%, reflecting higher copper production and by-product credits. Looking ahead, guidance for our Copper segment remains unchanged, and we continue to expect further growth in copper production this year to 455,000-530,000 tons, from 454,000 tons last year. Looking at our Zinc segment on slide 16. Compared with Q2 last year, gross profit before depreciation and amortization increased 122% to CAD 353 million, with margins significantly higher at 39% compared with 28% previously.
This improvement was primarily driven by strong performance at Trail Operations. This reflects materially higher by-product pricing and the continued execution of our value-driven optimization of feed sources and production, including prioritizing processing of residues in the near term. As a result, gross profit before depreciation and amortization at Trail increased to CAD 203 million compared with CAD 42 million in the same period last year, despite the planned shutdown of the lead circuit during the quarter. On July 7th, we also announced a strategic investment agreement with the Government of Canada to support strategic metals production at Trail. The initiative has the potential to expand production of germanium and antimony and add new gallium capacity. It also remains subject to certain conditions as well as evaluation under our capital allocation framework.
At Red Dog, zinc production in the second quarter reflected lower grades and recoveries consistent with the mine plan, and zinc sales were within our guidance range at 37,000 tons. Zinc net cash unit costs improved 29%, benefiting from lower smelter processing charges and higher by-product credits. Looking ahead, Red Dog's shipping season commenced on July 12th. As in previous years, the majority of diesel deliveries are expected during the third quarter, alongside zinc concentrate sales of 220,000-270,000 tons, reflecting the normal seasonal shipping pattern. Our guidance for the zinc business remains unchanged. We continue to expect zinc in concentrate production of 410,000-460,000 tons, and refined zinc production of 190,000-230,000 tons in 2026. Turning now to our net cash unit costs on slide 17.
Despite oil price headwinds during the quarter, we reduced net cash unit costs across both our copper and zinc businesses, reflecting strong operational performance, cost discipline, and favorable by-product pricing. In copper, total cash unit cost declined despite approximately $0.70 per pound of energy inflation impact, supported by higher production across our operations. Net cash unit costs improved even further from $2.02 per pound to $1.64 per pound as stronger by-product production and pricing, particularly for molybdenum, silver, and zinc, increased by-product credits. In zinc, total cash unit costs were broadly stable as the impact of lower production volumes has been largely offset by lower smelter processing charges. Red Dog has been largely insulated from higher energy prices year to date, as diesel for the 2026 shipping season had not yet been delivered.
Net cash unit costs in zinc also improved significantly from $0.49 per pound to $0.35 per pound, driven by stronger by-product prices, including silver, lead, and germanium. These cost improvements, together with the favorable pricing environment, translated into materially stronger margins across both of our business segments. Turning now to our margins on slide 18. We delivered a significant expansion in margins across both of our business segments during the second quarter, reflecting the benefit of higher commodity prices together with continued operational improvements and disciplined cost performance. In copper, our adjusted EBITDA margin increased to 70% compared with 45% in the second quarter of last year, driven by stronger copper prices, higher production and sales volumes, and strong by-product credits.
In zinc, our adjusted EBITDA margin increased to 38% from 25% a year ago, reflecting higher zinc prices, stronger byproduct credits, and the continued optimization of feed sources at Trail Operations. Turning now to our balance sheet on slide 19. As a result of the strong cash generation from our operations, we continue to strengthen our balance sheet while funding the Highland Valley Mine Life Extension Project. In the second quarter of 2026, we generated significant cash flow from operations of CAD 1.7 billion. Net cash increased by CAD 756 million during the quarter to CAD 1.2 billion, representing an increase of CAD 1 billion over the first half of this year. Our liquidity strengthened further to CAD 10.3 billion as at June 30th, including CAD 6.1 billion of cash.
We also continued to reduce debt through our scheduled semi-annual repayments under the QB project finance facility, positioning us with a strong balance sheet as we move towards completion of the Anglo Teck merger. I will now pass it back to Jonathan for closing remarks.
Thanks, Crystal. I'll now wrap up briefly on slide 21. We're pleased to have delivered another quarter of strong operational and financial performance, reflecting the continued progress we are making across the business. Advancing our merger of equals with Anglo American, including securing the remaining regulatory approval and progressing integration planning. Continuing to deliver safe, stable and reliable operating performance across our business. Further strengthening the performance of QB through continued operational improvements and progress on the Tailings Management Facility, and advancing the Highland Valley Mine Life Extension project. By remaining focused on these priorities, we believe we are well-positioned to complete the merger and create a leading critical minerals company with the financial strength, operational capability, and portfolio quality to deliver long-term value for shareholders.
With that, over to you, operator, for questions, please.
Certainly. To join the question queue, please press star then one on your touchtone telephone. You will hear a tone acknowledging your request. We ask that you please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up. If you're using a speakerphone, please ensure you lift the handset before pressing any keys. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star then two. The first question comes from Orest Symchychuk with Scotiabank. Please go ahead. Hi, good morning.
It's really great to see the operational turnaround, especially at QB. Before my question, I just wanted to also put out a big thank you to Emma for all her help at IR. Wish the best on her next opportunity. I'm just curious if advancing Rock Bench 6 and advancing some of the infrastructure, if that could positively impact throughput rates, in terms of versus plan for 2027, 2028.
Thanks, Orest. Thank you as well for that comment on Emma. I'll talk a little bit about that later. The short answer to your question is no, Orest. We don't expect any impact to throughput rates directly the result of the planned actions that we're taking here. As mentioned, we see this as an acceleration and essentially a de-risking that allows us to further underwrite that ongoing operational continuity that we've worked so hard to achieve over the last three quarters.
Okay. A second question, just in terms of the regulatory approval, specifically from China, can you give us an update on where things are at? Whether you've any requests for potential offtakes or offset sales or anything like that? I'm curious to what the Chinese may be asking for in terms of the process.
Yeah, look, I'd say that the process with SAMR, which is the markets regulator in China, is unfolding in the normal course. We continue to respond to information requests aligned with the typical process here. We're moving ahead. We still expect completion to be within the originally announced 12-18 months from the date of announcement. Beyond that, there's nothing more to say in that we haven't received any requests for remedies arising from the approval process. Business as usual for the time being.
Okay. Thank you. Just finally, how quickly do you received that Chinese approval?
Sorry, you just cut out a little bit there. How quickly? Sorry. How quickly do you expect the transaction to close post the Chinese approval?
Very quickly. We'd be talking a matter of a couple of weeks, no more than that.
Okay. Thank you very much.
Thanks, Orest. Appreciate it. The next question comes from Dalton Baretto with Canaccord Genuity.
Please go ahead. Thanks, operator.
Good morning, Jonathan and team. Thanks for taking my question. On the assumption that you do get the SAMR approvals in short order and you close fairly quickly, can you give us an update on where you're at in terms of the integration planning? What sort of things have been sort of settled on and ready? What are you still working on, and any thinking around the pro forma portfolio? Thank you. Yeah. Thanks for those questions, Dalton.
An enormous amount of work going on integration planning between ourselves and Anglo American right now. Of course, we have to continue to operate entirely as independent companies until such time as the merger closes. We run our own businesses. There's no crossover of decisions in relation to operations or current activities. In the meantime, of course, we've got to ensure that we can seamlessly integrate these two new companies to do two things. One, to maintain operational continuity and to ensure we can operate efficiently and effectively. On the other hand, of course, we've got a lot of value to capture here through the combination of these businesses. We're planning for both of those things. On the one hand, we have to plan the way forward around business processes and systems, organizational structures.
Of course, the appointment of leadership and other teams throughout the new organization will be key to standing that new business up. On the other hand, we're working hard to build out the synergy capture plans that we have at a much higher level of fidelity to ensure that as soon as the merger closes, teams in the new Anglo Teck organization can get after capturing that value. An enormous amount of work going on, and we'd expect that work to continue with a high level of intensity all the way through to completion of the transaction.
Thanks, Jonathan, and maybe in parallel as you're working through that, can you comment on where you guys are at, either as Teck or potentially with Anglo American on the Koyolasi QB2 tie-up, specifically from an ownership perspective?
We remain super focused on that, of course, given the significant value opportunity that that presents. As we've said before, we continue to believe that it offers the shareholders of both QB and Collahuasi the fastest route to copper growth, lowest risk, lowest capital intensity, and therefore delivers the highest returns of any opportunity available to either operation and either set of shareholders here. One of the first steps there, of course, is advancing a formal study to ensure that we validate and underwrite the investment thesis here and begin to shape exactly what that project will look like from an execution perspective. We've engaged with shareholders of both operations. We've engaged with local governments. We remain very optimistic that we'll arrive at a mutually beneficial agreement here for all parties, because there is so much value to be shared.
I won't comment more on the nature of those commercial interactions at this point, because of course they remain confidential. We remain very focused as does Anglo American, on pursuing that synergy capture opportunity.
Great. Thanks, Jonathan. Just maybe one more thing on that. Is that study being conducted or will be conducted as a collective, or are the different shareholders having different people look at this?
Ultimately, of course, that's going to have to be a shared piece of work across both sites. What we have to do is, of course, come into those interactions with the specifics here. We're working with Anglo American on developing that. We have the coverage, of course, as we do today, across both QB and Collahuasi in that respect. Of course, ultimately, what that looks like is going to be something for all shareholders to be part of. For the time being, that's something we're progressing at pace.
Thanks, Jonathan. That's all for me.
The next question comes from Anita Soni with CIBC Markets. Please go ahead. Thanks for taking my questions.
Again, similar to Orest, congratulations on your move and best wishes on your next endeavor. Thanks for all your help over the last couple of years. I just wanted to ask firstly on this Rock Bench 6, what would you need to see to be able to make that go-ahead decision to accelerate the Rock Bench 6 construction?
I think Anita, as ever, when we make a decision to invest capital, we need to ensure that that's the right thing to do in terms of the uplift that it will give to the value of the operation. I think we have a pretty strong conviction view that this is the direction that we will go in because of that acceleration and de-risking that I mentioned. We've just got our usual investment committee processes to work through here and the technical assessment of Dale and his team. Like I said, I think a high likelihood that's the direction that we'll follow.
The idea is that you'd now build out the rock bench, so you'd have a wide enough crest to be able to put the infrastructure in earlier, and then that would help with the sand deposition and accelerate that?
Yeah, that's exactly right. Of course, an additional rock bench here, Rock Bench 6, will significantly widen the crest. That will enable the installation of the permanent infrastructure on that crest, and of course then the efficiency of the deposition of tailings upstream and the deposition of sand downstream will be significantly enhanced and more efficient than the practices that we're deploying today.
Okay. Would there be any kind of cost savings from that? I mean, just more of the sand deposition is being taken up by just sort of automatic deposition rather than physically placing it with trucks. Is there any kind of cost savings that you guys are looking at?
Yes, I think that's a fair assumption. I don't think there'll be dramatically material in the context of the overall operation at QB, but yes, you're right in that we will gain efficiencies from progressing to this next phase of a steady state operation.
Okay. I just have one quick question. On the Antamina zinc pipeline, is there any update on where that stands? I read it says in your release that it was shut down during the quarter. Is there any idea when it would restart?
Yeah, Anita, that's now fixed and it's back in operation.
Okay. Thank you. Congratulations on a good quarter.
Thanks, Anita. The next question comes from Craig Hutchison with TD Cowen.
Please go ahead. Hi, guys.
Good morning. I just want to ask a follow-up question on the throughput at QB. Given your guidance range of 115,000-132,000 tonnes, is the goal now in the second half of the year to really push the mill up to its design rate? Or are you guys still being a bit cautious on that? I guess maybe it's a follow-up. Is there anything on the tailings management facility or the mill itself that would prevent you guys from operating at design?
Dale, do you want to provide a bit of color on that, please?
Sure. Thanks for the question. I think really the focus that we've been doing in recognizing the three quarters of stable operations is stability. What that's allowed us to do is you can see sort of achieving that stable metallurgical recovery, as well as improved moly plant performance. Agree, our focus now is to build upon that stability and start optimizing and improving plant performance, and it is unconstrained from the TMF. Really our focus is to be able to achieve stable operations and be able to drive demonstrated results through that improvement over the next few quarters. That's our focus there. Okay.
Is part of that just the stability of the operation, or are you also starting to see improvements just in terms of the geology, less oxide, less clay-type interferences with the recoveries?
Yeah. As the mine continues to develop, we do expect to see improved recovery as a result of the ore type. At the same time, what we're doing today is through stable operation. It's far easier to identify those opportunities to make some incremental improvements. This is allowing us also to drive more operating discipline to achieve that stability and repeatability of performance. It's really a combination of the two as we keep moving forward.
Okay, great. Just maybe one last question from me. Just on the Trail deal you guys announced a few weeks back, is the plan to double the production of germanium? Is part of that just better recoveries from Red Dog, or is it more you're going to source more ore from other places? I'm just trying to understand how much of an uplift would be for you guys from your existing operations versus just more of a tolling-type arrangement.
Yeah, Craig, that's more about increasing the processing capacity at Trail over time so we can handle more feed. Of course, the majority of our feed today comes from Red Dog, and of course, that's been supplemented by certain residues and other sources to complement that. We continue to look on a go-forward basis at a wide range of potential sources, and our commercial group working with our corporate development group has been very active sourcing a wide range of feeds to support that going forward. Fundamentally, the additional volume isn't a recovery game. It's actually expanding processing capacity, and that's what the investment would be directed towards.
Okay, great. Thanks, guys. Thank you, Craig.
The next question comes from Liam Fitzpatrick with Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead. Hi, Jonathan and team.
Two quick ones, probably. First one, just on indexation in Canada. Any recent updates that you can share with us on that? Second one on Trail. You did highlight that Q2 would be impacted by maintenance, but profitability has still remained very strong compared to history in Q2. Should we expect similar or better profitability in the second half, or anything else you'd highlight on that asset? Thank you. Thank you, Liam.
I'll get Crystal to comment on Trail and the second half. To the point on indexation, there was some movement on that yesterday when we heard from S&P having released a proposal to the market for comment on the potential for foreign issuers to have indexation, which of course has been the matter that we've been looking to deal with. Issuers would have to meet certain domicile criteria for Canada, but that's been quite encouraging in that it talks about the materiality being an important part of the Canadian investment landscape, it also doesn't require Canada to be the highest level of economic component of a business of an issuer to achieve that. We're quite encouraged by what we've seen overnight.
S&P, rather than applying strict criteria, are giving themselves some flexibility here and some discretion around how these decisions are made and importantly, when these decisions are made. The consultation process will start shortly. It's open for comment until the 21st of August. We expect beyond that to learn more. I think the signals there, Liam, are being quite positive here, and we'll continue to watch that carefully. Of course, our investors and other members of the investment community continue to advocate strongly for that development. Crystal, on Trail, please. Hi, Liam.
I hope today is going well. Similar to what we said in the first quarter, as we think about Trail, we're very focused on the feed optimization, and the profitability as we go forward really depends both on commodity prices as well as that feed profile. We continue to focus on maximizing profitability over volumes, but there's a couple of things I would note for the second half of the year. First being that we expect the refined zinc production to increase in the third quarter as we continue to optimize the feed source, as I mentioned, and that also balances with processing residues. We do have planned shutdowns for required maintenance in both zinc and lead in the fourth quarter. I think those would be things I would use to moderate your expectations for the second half of the year.
That's great. Thank you. Thanks, Liam.
The next question comes from Miles Allsopp with UBS. Please go ahead. Great. Thanks.
One thing that surprised me a little bit is that you didn't point to the upper end of guidance. Are you just being super prudent given history, when thinking about production for this year? Or is there a kind of realistic scenario where you could be at the midpoint of guidance rather than the top end of guidance?
Yeah, Miles. Thank you. We are very focused on this operational consistency and stability throughout the year. That's a primary focus for us. I think we've spoken before, particularly at HVC, that has been very much an H1 weighted story. In the second half at HVC, we're going to have to have some downtime in the mills for tie-ins to the Mine Life Extension project. We also expect a reduction in grade as well from a feed perspective in the second half of 2026. We are expecting lower production there. We're also expecting lower production at Antamina in the second half of the year. Of course, we'll work as hard as we can to generate the best production outcomes possible across all of our sites.
We do still think that the guidance ranges that we have here are valid and appropriate, and reflect well the full-year outcomes that we're anticipating.
Okay. Going back to QB, the debottlenecking optimization. Now that we're getting three steady quarters and the tailings has been kind of de-risked to a large degree, should we be thinking about bringing forward the debottlenecking optimization opportunities, getting throughput up that sort of 15%-20% or so?
Thanks for the question. I think certainly the work in achieving that stable operation, certainly highlighting key areas that will allow us to, one, optimize and then think about future debottlenecking. That work is in progress, really building upon that operational information that we're gathering to think about what's next and as we progress. Certainly our focus now is to certainly drive that stability and provide that incremental improvement within what we have, and that's really highlighting the best cost-effective ways to improve the operation as we go forward.
What's the best timeframe to start debottlenecking? Could that be sort of over the next two years, or would we still be looking further out?
I think that's part of the work that we're doing to understand what work we're actually needing to do, and then how fast we can do that work. Just recognizing all the other work we're doing in terms of the broader picture of what QB will be, what it will look like, and how we progress. I think that work's still being defined to what we can do short-term, and then what would take more work and a bit longer time.
Okay. I think, Miles, you can see from our disclosure today around some of the key operating parameters.
We've still got work to do to push those towards design levels. That provides a higher base and a strong foundation on which to execute those debottlenecking projects.
Yeah. Thank you. Thanks, Miles.
The next question comes from Lawson Winder with Bank of America. Please go ahead. Thank you.
Operator. This is Adam Smarski on for Lawson. I just had a follow-up question on the recovery initiative at QB2. Would you be able to describe some of the work that's being done there and what level of copper recovery we should expect for the remainder of 2026 and into 2027?
Yeah. Look, we're not going to re-guide the copper recoveries. We've set out the parameters for this year that we're targeting to operate within. Dale, maybe if you can just give some color on some of the initiatives that we're pursuing to improve recoveries.
At least quite a bit of the work that we've done builds upon the comprehensive operational review that was done last year. One key element was certainly accelerated drilling, getting some more information around your body to help our operational plans and help develop key playbooks for different ore types as we go forward. That work's been done, and now we're currently optimizing that, and that's being fed into our different process control setups to allow us to be more efficient in what we do. In addition, we continue to progress installation of additional sensors and controls to allow us to fine-tune the operation, really building upon that stable operation and see what we can do to improve that control and just that stable base.
We continue to improve and optimize our reagent addition, building upon that stability that's allowed us to be more effective and efficient in how we see things. This gives us more confidence in the repeatability of our performance and our ability to build upon it as we continue to improve our throughput rates.
Great. Thank you. Just a question on costs. Q1 and Q2 net cash costs have been well below guidance, by-product prices are above the sort of the guidance that you provided. My question is, are unit cash costs setting up to beat guidance and communicate sort of the sensitivity of those unit costs to by-product prices, as well as, especially for the diesel shipments going in, what sensitivity we have to the zinc to those diesel prices? Cristine? Sure. Hi, hope you're having a good day.
Again, similar to the story on production, I think that's an important component as we think about the unit costs in the second half of the year. Obviously, we're very pleased with our cost performance year to date. There remains a lot of volatility in the byproduct pricing as well as in energy costs. While we do have more conservative assumptions embedded in our guidance because those were established late last year, we remain confident in the ranges. I think if byproduct pricing persists, you'd expect to be below the midpoint on copper, similarly on the zinc side of things. From a sensitivity perspective, I think there was a few things you had in there.
I believe you said energy and what the sensitivity to that was for every sort of $10 change in per barrel of WTI is about $0.01 on our zinc C1 and about $0.03 on copper. I am not sure if I captured everything that you were asking there, feel free to weigh in if there was more.
No, that's helpful on the energy. Just on some of the byproduct assumptions. I think silver is roughly double what you had in your guidance. Just sort of how a CAD 10 change in silver, how that's going to affect net costs.
Sorry, just give me one quick second here to find that. I don't have it off the top of my head. Can we circle back with you offline? Sorry, I just need to get the team to provide a bit more on that. I can provide it to you in EBITDA context, but I don't have the C1 off the top here.
That's perfect. Thank you. Okay.
We'll come back to you offline.
The next question comes from Brian MacArthur with Raymond James. Please go ahead. Good morning.
Thank you for taking my question. I just want to follow up on Craig's question about the germanium and I guess, gallium and other stuff that the Canadian government's putting money in at Trail. As Red Dog currently sits, it runs out over a number of years. We've got a new area. I got a couple of questions. Does the new area have the same amount of germanium? B, if it doesn't, how do you get your heads around the fact that you may be losing one of the major sources for germanium at Trail on a longer-term basis if it's not grading the same way? I realize this is pretty competitive information, so I'll accept whatever you're willing to actually talk about. Thanks. Yeah, thanks for that question, Brian.
I'm going to pass you to Ian Anderson, our Chief Commercial Officer, because in addition to Red Dog, which he can comment on, he's also been looking at and working to develop a whole series of other feed sources to supplement the feed to Trail. Over to you, Ian. Thanks for the question, Brian.
I would say at the outset that decisions in terms of Red Dog MLE and the advancement of that project are independent from what we're doing at Trail, of course, subject to the normal both capital allocation and portfolio decisions that are required of any project. The feed sources from Trail come from a variety of places, including Red Dog. As we're advancing the Red Dog MLE project, which of course is rich in germanium, we've also entered into a number of recent transactions in order to secure offtake agreements with both zinc and germanium miners. I'll give you some examples. We recently had a transaction to divest the Apex germanium mine to Blue Moon Metals, and that secured an offtake agreement for zinc concentrate from Blue Moon and marketing rights for that product produced from Apex.
We also had a recent investment on an equity basis to rebuild zinc, lead, and silver capacity in the Idaho Silver Valley, an area that's really growing, and you're seeing more production coming on there through Bunker Hill. We also engaged in a recent divestment of the Smucker Project to Valhalla Metals, and that secured priority purchase rights and an offer of last on concentrates produced from the Sun and Smucker properties. We are also working on a number of others, and of course, based on this announcement, this is an exciting area where there's lots of promise. We intend to continue our strategy of optimizing for value at Trail, and both residues and feed sources are an important component of that in order to create optionality.
Great. That's very helpful. Could I just ask one more question? Because when I look at some of the other sources, Kipushi, China, would you take that stuff, or you're trying to get, I assume it's all designed to be Western sources.
We've got lots of offers, and we'll be very careful about how we engage with those, but some of them are pretty exciting, as I said, both on the residue basis and on the raw feed basis. More to come on that one.
Thank you very much. That's very helpful.
Thanks, Brian. Thank you. We are out of time for further questions.
I will now hand the call back over to Jonathan Price for closing remarks.
Okay. Thank you, operator. Before we sign off, and to some of the kind comments earlier in the call, I did want to note that this is Emma Chapman's last quarterly conference call with Teck. Of course, I'd like to thank Emma for her incredible contributions, for the incredible relationships that she's built and has maintained throughout both the sell side and the buy side. I know she's worked in very close partnership with many of you. Of course, Emma's been with us through what has been an intensely active period of time, and she's done an amazing job on behalf of Teck, and we wish her all the very best in her next chapter. Edwin Shadeo has stepped in as acting Vice President, Investor Relations, and Treasurer. Many of you will already know Edwin from his previous roles with the company since 2005.
He's been in treasury, he's been in corporate development, and previously in investor relations. Please do reach out to Edwin, and of course, other members of our IR team, on anything that you want to follow up on. Thanks again to all of you for joining us today, and enjoy the rest of your day.
