Applied Digital Corporation Common Stock Q4 2026 Earnings Call
Key Takeaways
- Applied Digital signed leases for five campuses in fiscal fourth quarter 2020, including three in the last four months, creating $36 billion of total contracted long-term lease value, with $20 billion signed in the last quarter.
- The company has 1.41GW of contracted critical load across all campuses and delivered 100MW of Polaris Forge one on time and on budget.
- Total revenues for the quarter were $258.7 million, a 407% increase from the prior quarter, with $208.2 million from services and $50.6 million from data center rental and other revenue.
- HPC hosting business generated $230 million in revenue, and the data center hosting segment generated $37.3 million in revenue, delivering $12.5 million in segment operating profit on $113.8 million in reported assets.
- Net loss attributable to common shareholders was $111.6 million or $0.39 per share, while adjusted net income was $12.9 million or $0.04 per diluted share.
- Adjusted EBIT was $42.4 million, up from $1 million in the prior quarter, and net operating income (NOI) was $39.9 million, representing a 91% margin.
- The company ended the quarter with $4.42 billion in cash, $5 billion in debt, and approximately $1.7 billion in equity.
- Applied Digital completed the separation of its cloud business, Cronos Scale, which trades under ticker CHRN, holding 96% ownership.
- The company secured $2.15 billion in senior secured notes, a $300 million senior secured bridge facility, and a revolving credit facility of up to $550 million, lowering its overall cost of capital.
- Applied Digital is building five multibillion-dollar AI factory campuses for three hyperscalers across three states and two regions.
- The company is actively marketing an additional 1.7GW of capacity across multiple states, expecting higher pricing and is in advanced negotiations for expansion leases of approximately 100MW and 150MW at existing locations.
- Applied Digital owns about 10% of Base Electron, which is developing roughly 1.2GW of front-of-the-meter natural gas-fired generation in the Dakotas to support data center expansion.
Outlook
- US technology companies have committed approximately $850 billion of data center lease obligations over the next several years, an increase of roughly $570 billion year over year, signaling a major infrastructure investment cycle.
- AI spending by hyperscalers is projected to reach approximately 3.2% of US GDP in 2027, surpassing projected US national defense spending for the first time.
- Applied Digital expects to achieve its goal of $1 billion of net operating income run rate a year early, within the next year, supported by $36 billion of long-term contracted lease revenue.
- The company sees clear visibility to expand existing campuses to over five gigawatts of critical IT load through 2032, leveraging existing infrastructure and economies of scale.
- Expansion opportunities are supported by additional power generation projects, including Base Electron's developments and other regional power projects and transmission upgrades.
- Applied Digital believes the region's abundant low-cost energy, cool climate, and business-friendly environment create a significant competitive advantage and barrier to entry for data center development.
Guidance
- Capital expenditures are expected to be around $600 million in the upcoming quarter as construction advances at new campuses.
- Expansion leases under negotiation for approximately 100MW and 150MW are expected to be executed on substantially the same terms as current leases but with materially higher lease rates and possibly longer duration.
- Margins are expected to improve post-initial facility startup and with economies of scale as more buildings come online within campuses, targeting NOI margins around 91%.
- Financing for the next three campuses is expected to be straightforward, with Macquarie funding three-fourths of the equity and favorable debt rates anticipated due to direct leases with investment-grade hyperscalers.
- The company plans to continue adding new campuses in 2024 and 2025, compounding growth potential and diversification.
Executive Comments
- CEO Wes Cummins highlighted the company's transformational year with significant lease signings, on-time project delivery, and strong partnerships with hyperscalers and local communities.
- Cummins emphasized the company's franchise model with a repeatable operating structure and proprietary data center design as key competitive advantages.
- CFO Seidal Mohmand discussed securing lower cost of capital through various financing transactions, including senior secured notes and revolving credit facilities, and the conservative, programmatic approach to managing leverage.
- Management noted that the company focuses on high-quality, investment-grade hyperscaler customers with durable contracts and strong SLAs to ensure long-term earnings and cash flow stability.
- Cummins expressed confidence in the AI infrastructure market despite broader market caution, citing robust demand and the company's positioning regardless of technology model shifts.
- Executives discussed labor and supply chain management strategies, including working in less crowded markets and collaborating with local vocational schools to address labor needs.
- Management expects power availability and supply chain constraints to be the main growth governors, with strong processes in place to manage construction and delivery timelines.
- The company is excited about Base Electron's power projects in North Dakota, which will enable significant campus expansions and support the region's data center growth.
Q&A
- Applied Digital's strategy in signing recent leases with investment-grade hyperscalers was to build a solid foundation with durable contracts and strong SLAs, achieving over 70% of contracted lease revenue with investment-grade customers.
- The company believes its lease return rates are competitive within the industry band and expects to drive financing costs lower over time.
- On managing cost of capital, the company uses a three-part flywheel: corporate balance sheet and revolver, equity funding through Macquarie's JV, and site-specific debt, maintaining conservative leverage around 80% loan-to-value.
- Capital expenditures are expected to increase to around $600 million in the next quarter as construction advances, with financing tapped earlier in the construction process for new sites.
- Restricted cash primarily related to Polaris Forge two bond escrow has been released as of June.
- Expansion leases of approximately 100MW and 150MW are expected at existing campuses with materially higher pricing than current leases.
- Base Electron's 1.2GW power generation capacity is expected to come online in 2029 and 2030, augmenting utility power and enabling campus expansions.
- The additional marketed 1.7GW capacity is expected to come from new customers rather than existing customers expanding.
- Applied Digital's AI factory campuses are designed with flexible architecture to support GPUs, TPUs, CPUs, and other compute types, tailored to customer specifications.
- The company can manage simultaneous construction on seven campuses and may increase that number cautiously, balancing execution and supply chain constraints.
- NOI margins are targeted conservatively around 91%, with expected improvements as sites mature and economies of scale are realized.
- Demand from high investment-grade hyperscalers remains robust despite inflationary pressures, with pricing moving higher in the market.
- Labor costs and conditions vary by region; the company mitigates labor challenges by operating in less crowded markets and partnering with local technical schools to train workers.
- Power availability and supply chain constraints are the primary growth governors, with strong construction processes enabling efficient project delivery.
- Applied Digital focuses on high-quality customers with durable contracts to mitigate volatility risks in the AI infrastructure market, avoiding less stable models and companies.
Good afternoon. Welcome to Applied Digital's fiscal fourth quarter 2026 conference call. My name is Pascal Bearman, and I will be your operator today. Before this call, Applied Digital issued its financial results for the fiscal fourth quarter ended May 31st, 2026, in a press release. A copy of which has been furnished in a report on Form 8-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, or SEC, and will be available in the investor relations section of the company's website. Joining us on today's call are Applied Digital's Chairman and CEO, Wes Cummins, and CFO, Saidal Mohmand. Following their remarks, we will open the call for questions. Before we begin, Matt Glover from Gateway Group will make a brief introductory statement. Mr. Glover, you may begin.
Thank you, operator. Hello, everyone. Welcome to Applied Digital's fiscal fourth quarter 2026 conference call. Before management begins formal remarks, we'd like to remind everyone that some statements we are making today may be considered forward-looking statements under the securities laws and involve a number of risks and uncertainties. As a result, we caution you that there are a number of factors, many of which are beyond our control, which could cause actual results and events to differ materially from those described in the forward-looking statements. For more detailed risks, uncertainties, and assumptions relating to our forward-looking statements, please see the disclosures in our earnings release and public filings made with the SEC. We disclaim any obligation or undertaking to update forward-looking statements to reflect circumstances or events that occur after the date the forward-looking statements are made, except as required by law.
We also discuss non-GAAP financial metrics and encourage you to read our disclosures in the reconciliation tables to the applicable GAAP measures in our earnings release carefully as you consider these metrics. Refer to our filings with the SEC for detailed disclosures and descriptions of our business as well as uncertainties and other variable circumstances, including but not limited to, risks and uncertainties identified in the management risks factors in our annual report on Form 10-K and our quarterly reports on Form 10-Q. You may access Applied Digital's SEC filings for free by visiting the SEC website at www.sec.gov. I'd like to also remind everyone that this call is being recorded and made available for replay via link in the IR section of Applied Digital's website. Now I'd like to turn the call to Applied Digital's Chairman and CEO, Wes Cummins. Wes? Thanks, Matt. Good afternoon, everyone.
Thank you for joining our fiscal fourth quarter 2026 earnings conference call. This was a defining quarter for Applied Digital, capping a transformational year for the company. We signed leases for five campuses, including three in just the past four months. We created $36 billion of total contracted long-term lease value and approximately $20 billion of that in the last quarter. This represents 125% increase in contracted lease value, underpinned by 1.41 gigawatts of contracted critical IT load for all campuses. As previously mentioned, we recently signed three new campuses, Polaris Forge 1, Polaris Forge 3, and Polaris Forge 2, with the same high investment-grade hyperscaler. These campuses span three states across two distinct regions of the country.
Delta Forge One and Polaris Forge Three are each approximately $7.5 billion in base term contracted lease revenue, and Delta Forge Two adds approximately $5.2 billion. Together representing approximately $20 billion in long-term contracted revenue from a single world-class customer. Over the course of the year, we delivered 100 megawatts of Polaris Forge 1 on time and on budget. We also achieved strong financial results, which you will hear about in a few moments. Just as importantly, we deepened our partnerships with local communities, building trust, making lasting investments, and helping improve residents' quality of life. We are currently constructing five multi-billion dollar AI factory campuses for three separate hyperscalers at a scale we believe speaks both to the quality of our platform and to the trust these customers place in our ability to execute.
We achieve this kind of scale by leveraging our proprietary data center designs and world-class supply chain to efficiently replicate our builds across a diverse set of geographies and climate conditions. At the center of our approach is what we call our franchise model. When we begin development at a new campus, we establish the same core group of approximately 15 to 20 leadership positions, each reporting directly to headquarters. This repeatable operating structure, combined with the strength of our supply chain and our status as an approved supplier with every major hyperscaler, positions us to deliver a platform that is both differentiated and scalable. We believe this model is one of the key reasons we have emerged as a clear leader in the industry. Together, we believe these capabilities provide a strong foundation for creating significant long-term value to our customers, shareholders, and communities we serve.
I'm even more excited about our pipeline beyond the 1.41 gigawatts currently under construction, particularly as rental rates have moved higher over the past six months. We are actively marketing an additional 1.7 gigawatts across multiple states and expect this new capacity to command higher pricing. We're seeing demand not only for entirely new campuses, but also for additional capacity at our existing locations. We are currently in advanced negotiations with two existing investment-grade customers to finalize leases associated with their respective expansion options for approximately 100 megawatts and 150 megawatts at these locations. We expect these expansion leases to be executed on substantially the same terms as the customer's current lease agreements, but at materially higher lease rates than the existing leases and possibly longer duration.
If executed, these leases would bring our total capacity to 1.66 gigawatts and over $6 billion of additional contracted revenue based on existing rates and duration. We expect the ultimate amount to be even greater, reflecting the anticipated higher rates and potentially longer duration. Importantly, we believe the opportunity extends beyond simply adding contracted megawatts. As we continue to expand our platform, we see an opportunity to increase operating leverage through premium pricing, as well as further diversifying our customer base across both our existing and future campuses. As it relates to our power pipeline, I'm especially excited about our strategy and our work with Base Electron, an independent power producer collaborating with Babcock & Wilcox, the regional utilities, and regional utilities to develop roughly 1.2 gigawatts of front-of-the-meter natural gas-fired generation in the Dakotas.
We're seeking to position our shareholders to benefit from Base Electron's success, as we currently own approximately 10% of the company. We believe that even more compelling opportunity is the power itself, which is the single most valuable and constrained resource in our industry. This generation is expected to unlock expansion at existing campuses, enable the development of new ones, and deepen our access to one of the country's most advantaged energy regions. North Dakota's Bakken Shale is among the most abundant, low-cost energy sources in the United States. Combined with the region's naturally cool climate and business-friendly environment, we believe the region is exceptionally well-suited for data center development. Our core belief is that this combination creates a significant competitive advantage and a barrier to entry that is very difficult to replicate.
We believe that if we continue to build the power, the hyperscalers will continue to come to our regions. Turning to execution. Last fall, we delivered our first 100 megawatts at Polaris Forge 1 on time, just recently we delivered 75 additional megawatts at the same campus, again on schedule. On-time delivery is a meaningful differentiator in the industry, and we strongly believe our track record sets us apart from our competitors. Industry data shows roughly 90% of industry-wide projects costing more than $1 billion are delivered late or over budget. We are proud to be among the remaining 10% category and are committed to maintaining that performance. Today, all of our construction projects are on time and on budget. Turning to our data center hosting business. This segment provides energized space for Bitcoin mining across our two sites in North Dakota.
It continues to perform well and remains the highest return on asset business in our portfolio. Importantly, we are paid based on the data center capacity provided to our customers, so as long as they are mining, we are paid regardless of where the price of Bitcoin trades, which makes this a steady, high margin source of cash flow. Turning to ChronoScale. During the quarter, we completed the separation of our cloud business, which began trading on Nasdaq under the ticker CHRN in early May. Applied Digital currently holds 96% ownership, our shareholders continue to participate in the upside of that business as it seeks to scale independently as a dedicated, accelerated compute platform. ChronoScale has already made meaningful progress building out its leadership team, most notably the appointment of Raj as Chief Technology Officer.
Raj joins after more than 13 years at Tesla, where he served as vice president, reporting directly to Elon Musk, and led a broad portfolio spanning AI infrastructure and one of the largest GPU clusters in the world. ChronoScale also named Lawrence Lam, who brings more than 20 years of scaling global cloud and AI platforms at companies including Supermicro, as Chief Product Officer. We believe attracting talent of this caliber underscores the scale of the opportunity in front of ChronoScale as an independent company. During the quarter, ChronoScale extended a customer contract at higher pricing for its deployed fleet of GPUs. The company also began demonstrating its secure enterprise environment to select partners. The company's platform allows enterprises to deploy AI in a secure, controlled environment, regardless of whether the data resides on-premise or at one of several large cloud providers.
The platform supports a multitude of AI models, allowing partners to choose which is best for their enterprise. In addition to the enterprise cloud, ChronoScale is also pursuing multiple large reserve contract opportunities that, if secured on favorable terms, will allow the company to deploy hundreds of megawatts of compute on a take-or-pay long-term contract. With that, I'll turn the call over to our CFO, Saidal Mohmand, for a detailed review of the financials. Saidal? Thank you, Wes. Before I turn to the quarter, I want to spend a moment on financing because our team did a tremendous amount of work over the past several months to secure lower cost of capital.
During and shortly after the quarter, we closed our $2.15 billion of 6.75% senior secured notes to fund our Polaris Forge 2 campus. We closed a $300 million senior secured bridge facility led by Goldman Sachs. We secured a revolving credit facility of up to $550 million, and closed our $1.59 billion, 7% senior secured notes to fund our fourth building at the Polaris Forge 1 campus. Continuing to drive down our overall cost of capital remains one of my highest priorities. A key driver of that progress has been our work with CoreWeave at Polaris Forge 1.
By restructuring the leases at that campus through a special purpose vehicle and by establishing a memorandum of understanding around the credit supporting our debt financing, we were able to place our recent $1.5 billion notes at 7%, 225 basis points inside our first placement, which priced at roughly 9.25%. Just as encouraging, that placement, the notes on our initial two HPC build into Polaris Forge 1, is now trading at a meaningful tighter spread in the secondary market, which we believe positions us well to refinance that debt at a lower cost in the future. With these transactions, we have now secured the financing needs for the full 400 MW at Polaris Forge 1 and the 200 MW of Polaris Forge 2. Looking ahead, we expect the financing for our next three campuses to be relatively straightforward.
Under our arrangement from Macquarie, they fund three-fourths of the equity. Because these campuses are leased to a high investment-grade hyperscaler, we anticipate favorable rates on our future debt placements. Additionally, signing direct investment-grade hyperscaler leases allows us to maintain a favorable cost of capital through the entire lease term as opposed to indirect or backstop leases, which face uncertainty after the initial five-year tenure. Taken together, this is a financing model we believe is both repeatable and increasingly efficient as our cost of capital continues to improve. Let's turn to the quarter. I'll cover the fourth quarter numbers in my comments. Please note that unless otherwise specified, these figures reflect only our continuing operations. In the fourth quarter, total revenues were $258.7 million, with $208.2 million of services revenue and $50.6 million of data center rental and other revenue.
Overall, total revenues increased 407% from the comparative prior quarter. For the quarter, our HPC hosting business generated $203 million in revenue, consisting of $152.4 million related to tenant fit-out services, $44.1 million related to base rent and $6.5 million related to tenant recoveries. The data center hosting segment, which operates our crypto data centers, had another strong quarter with $37.3 million in revenue, materially consistent year-over-year with stable operating conditions. We are very pleased with this business, which continues to deliver the highest return on assets in the company, generating $12.5 million in segment operating profit in just one quarter on $113.8 million in reported assets. Because we own the majority of ChronoScale, we consolidated its $18.8 million of revenues for this quarter.
As ChronoScale is pursuing a separate strategy from our core business and now operates as a separate publicly traded company, we have excluded the segment from our non-GAAP results. Services cost of revenues increased by $138.9 million to $208.2 million this quarter. The increase was driven primarily by the $145.6 million in tenant fit-out services performed within our HPC hosting business. Data center rental and other cost of revenues were $25.1 million for the fourth quarter, primarily driven by approximately $14.1 million in depreciation amortization associated with our first HPC data center at Polaris Forge 1, $6.4 million in expenses, which are reimbursable as tenant recoveries, and $4.5 million in personnel and other operating costs supporting our facilities. SG&A expense increased $124.3 million to $165.3 million this quarter.
The increase was primarily driven by $116.8 million in stock-based compensation due to accelerated vesting of certain employee stock awards, as well as grant activity associated with separation of the cloud service business, and an increase in headcount, as well as $7.3 million in personnel expenses also related to the increase in headcount. One item worth calling out this quarter. Our stock-based compensation included $47.9 million tied to one-time awards connected to the ChronoScale transaction and $65.1 million tied to performance stock units. Net loss attributable to common shareholders was $111.6 million or $0.39 per share. Adjusted net income was $12.9 million or $0.04 per diluted share. Depreciation for the quarter was approximately $18.2 million. Adjusted EBITDA was $42.4 million, up from $1 million in the comparative prior quarter.
Net operating income, or NOI, was $39.9 million, representing a 91% margin. We define it as our HPC base rental revenue, less our rental operating expenses, property taxes, and insurance expenses. From a balance sheet perspective, we believe we are very well positioned. We ended the quarter with $4.2 billion in cash, $5 billion in debt, and approximately $1.7 billion in equity. As you evaluate these results, keep in mind that our current financials on the HPC data center side primarily reflect only the initial 100 megawatts that are online and contributing during the quarter. Looking ahead, as we bring additional capacity online, investors should expect to see a significant step-up in our numbers over the coming quarters and years.
We are currently building towards a 1.5 gigawatts of HPC AI infrastructure. We expect this ramp will drive meaningful growth in revenue, EBITDA, and NOI as those megawatts come into service. Now I'll turn over the call to Wes for closing remarks.
Thank you, Taddel. We're seeing the AI infrastructure build-out enter a powerful new phase. Hyperscalers are no longer just investing in AI infrastructure. They're accelerating their commitments in an unprecedented scale. U.S. technology companies have now committed to approximately $850 billion of data center lease obligations over the next several years, an increase of roughly $570 billion year-over-year, more than triple prior levels. These are not forecasts. These are long-term contractual commitments backed by many of the world's largest technology companies with the largest and strongest balance sheets and credit ratings. AI infrastructure spending at the major hyperscalers is projected to reach approximately 3.2% of U.S. GDP in 2027, surpassing projected U.S. national defense spending for the first time.
Taken together, these long-term commitments reinforce our conviction that we remain in the early stages of what we believe could be one of the largest infrastructure investment cycles in the modern economic history. We believe Applied Digital is well positioned to capitalize on that opportunity. As I wrap up, I would like to leave you with a few final thoughts. Building AI infrastructure at scale is incredibly complex. Balancing aggressive construction schedules, customer expectations, power infrastructure, and community partnerships is no small task. Through it all, our guiding principles have remained remarkably simple. Do it the right way. For our customers, that means delivering high-quality GPU-ready data center capacity on time. That commitment is reflected in both the customer relationships we're building and the industry recognition we've received. For our communities, it means being a trusted partner who creates lasting economic value.
From the beginning, we've believed in building with our communities, not simply in them. We engaged early, listened often, and strived to ensure every project leaves a lasting positive impact. The jobs, tax revenue, and long-term investment we bring help strengthen local infrastructure, support schools, first responders, and create opportunities that can be truly transformational for these communities. Our operations are delivering measurable benefits today. At Polaris Forge 1, our use of excess regional grid capacity has already returned more than $45 million in electricity credits to local ratepayers. If you'd like to see our approach firsthand, I encourage you to watch our Behind the Build docuseries, where we share the town hall meetings and community conversations, an important part of every project we undertake. Finally, a year ago, we set a goal for $1 billion of net operating income within 5 years.
We now expect to achieve that run rate goal a year from now. We're three years ahead of schedule. Our platform is now supported by approximately $36 billion of long-term contracted lease revenue. More importantly, we believe the structure of our contracts, the majority being directly with investment-grade customers, establish a durable earnings and cash flow foundation from which we can continue to expand as our customer demand continues to grow. We cannot overstate the competitive advantage our established footprint provides. Our current campuses have the ability to expand, in some cases, expand dramatically. We believe expansion on current campuses alone provides us visibility to expand to over five gigawatts of critical IT load through 2032. Utilizing existing campus infrastructure will not only shorten development timelines, but will improve returns via economies of scale and establishing regions of excellence.
Our collaboration with Base Electron is intended to augment the power to support this expansion. We do expect to continue to add new campuses this year and next year, compounding the growth potential and diversification. Since our call this time last year, we've expanded from one campus to five, increased contracted revenue from $7 billion to $36 billion, and added over a gigawatt of capacity with investment-grade customers, with over 80% of that leased to a high investment-grade customer. We have delivered significant capacity on time and on budget. We have also dramatically lowered our cost of capital. I'm extremely proud of our team and their accomplishments. Our opportunity is significant, but our focus remains unchanged. Execute with discipline, deliver for our customers and our communities, and create long-term value for our shareholders. With that, operator, we're happy to open the call for questions.
Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. Please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one to raise your hand. To withdraw your question, press star one again. We ask that you pick up your handset when asking a question to allow for optimum sound quality. If you are muted locally, please remember to unmute your device. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. Your first question is from the line of Mike Grondahl with Northland Securities. Mike, your line is open. Please go ahead. Hey, thanks, guys.
Some of the questions we've been getting lately really revolve around the three recent leases for 810 megawatts and the lower yield or yielded development cost, kind of in relation to your peers. Can you talk about Applied's strategy in signing those three leases?
Sure, Mike. When we go back to the goal of what we have been seeking to achieve for the past 12 months, it was to put a solid foundation in place for Applied Digital. We've walked through this for many quarters. We signed CoreWeave first, then an investment-grade hyperscaler. After we'd signed CoreWeave, we made a commitment to get to 70% of our contracted lease revenue through investment-grade hyperscalers. That's been a big accomplishment for us. We signed two investment-grade hyperscalers. We're over 70%. That's soon to be, I think, we'll be close to 80%, it's at 76% of that on investment grade. Made that achievement. What I would say about the yields, I think from a cost perspective, we're fairly conservative. We want to set expectations that we can at least meet, if not beat.
From a margin and cost perspective, I think we're fairly conservative from a pricing perspective. These discussions were going on for a significant amount of time. I do think the prices have increased, as I mentioned in the script, I think you'll see that flow through for us on what we have in front of us.
I do think where we're hitting on our lease return rates, I think if you comp the entire industry, now there's a very small portion of the industry that's public company, if you comp the entire industry and you look at companies that were doing leases of this scale with these types of customers directly, we would be right in the band, if not at the middle towards the higher end of that band of contracted lease rates, again, for these types of customers with this kind of duration and this kind of scale. I think we'll be able to drive our financing costs significantly lower.
I think the important part, Mike, is we have a very solid foundation. You can do the math and kind of walk through, that we have about two plus billion of net operating income contracted on an annual basis at this point. We'll be able to grow from there. With very solid customers. When we look at how those returns go through, and this is how myself and our team have thought about this from the beginning, when we enter this business, these businesses, whether they're public or in the private markets, when they transact, go for 20 to 25 times that NOI number. That's really what the goal was for us, is to get into very solid leases and really good SLAs.
I've talked about that a significant amount because lease yields over time really depend on your SLAs once you have the building operating. I think we have those locked in from a contract perspective. I'm really proud of the achievement there.
Got it. Maybe a question for Sadao. Can you talk about your strategy around managing cost of capital, really on both the debt and the equity side?
Yep. Great question. One, I think as Wes alluded to, the type of hyperscaler that we contract with, going direct with the end investment grade hyperscaler, particularly at rates that are in the high end of the band where we see these types of leases transact and/or our peers come through, that acts as a function that you can actually lower your cost to the initial if it's 15 years or even longer. I think versus, and I talked to in the transcript, some of these shorter duration backstop leases where the guarantees run off after five years. That's one portion of mitigating and creating a consistent return. If you think about it, we talked about our flywheel, our flywheel really has three components. The first component, as Macquarie funds three-fourths of the equity, the first component comes from the Applied balance sheet.
Between our corporate cash flows, our low-cost revolver which we recently secured, we can fund the initial portion at a very attractive cost. Our revolver currently is SOFR plus 225. The MAM equity, I think, is one part where I think people tend to overlook and how that's an attractive form of capital. Macquarie funds through their $5 million JBOF us, three-fourths of the equity that's required. If you look at the 1.8 MOIC for that transaction, it's roughly a mid-teens IRR throughout. If you compare that versus just common stock issuance rate, which can be highly dilutive if you think the current and past prices are extremely undervalued or even a more attractive option versus large convertible debt offerings, which is one popular form to plug in the equity.
I think looking at convert, for instance, despite the convert being portrayed as a cheap cost of debt, there is disadvantages of having it in a large scale. One, it's negative from a credit ratings perspective, which can negatively impact your cost of capital and then also can create an overhang on the equity if you ever hit times of turbulence when you need to refinance it and it's truly treated as debt. That's one thing. If you look at the cap call math too, right? The cost of capital on issuing equity when severely undervalued or going for convert can be well excess or north of 20%. We think the MAM is a programmatic, consistent approach for funding a majority of the equity. The third portion of the flywheel which we have is effectively the site-specific debt.
The first form is through construction. We tap it predominantly through the project bond markets as of today. The project finance markets have also been available, which is through the banks, generally low cost. Then what you'll see, two years for the bond or as RFS occurs for the project finance market, you can roll into more of a permanent financing via CMBS, ABS or still the 144A IG market. With that, your construction cost and your cost of financing decreases, right, as construction risk is taken off the table. We approach it from I think three different forms and all through managing leverage at a very conservative level.
If you take an 80% LTC and what we need to build out for our 1.4 gigs that's contracted and take our average annualized NOI of $2 billion, you're sub seven times leverage, which is well below comps particularly in the private markets, which operate in excess of 10 terms of leverage. That's how we handle financing, and we try to do it in a conservative, programmatic, stable manner.
Got it. Thanks, guys, and best of luck to FY 2026.
Your next question comes from the line of Nick Giles with B. Riley Securities. Nick, your line is open. You can go ahead. Yeah, thanks, operator.
Good afternoon, guys. I wanted to ask about the cadence of CapEx spend through the balance of the calendar year. It seems like quarter-over-quarter spend took a significant step up as expected, curious if you have any sort of run rates for where that should go quarter-over-quarter as we try and model out 2026 and 2027. Thanks. Yeah, Nick. CapEx, so you should expect it around $600 million-ish for the upcoming quarter.
That will take a step up as we enter more advanced stages of construction at the new campuses. I would note though, as you see, what we have done is we've tapped the financing markets for these sites earlier on in the construction versus the first two Ellendale buildings which were well more advanced versus where we're at with PF2, for instance.
Got it. Thanks, Sadao. Maybe just on the restricted cash balance, over $2 billion, can you just remind us what the split is between deferred reserve, letters of credit, and then what we should expect on the release of that cash?
Yeah. Vast majority of the restricted cash was the Polaris Forge 2 bond. That was held in escrow until the ESA was released, which we released that, I believe, in June. That cash has since been unrestricted.
NRK will have greater detail on the actual of their accounts.
Got it. Great. Okay, I'll turn it over, but I appreciate the update, guys, and nice work.
Thank you. Your next line of questioning is from Rob Brown with Lake Street Capital Markets. Rob, your line is open. Please go ahead. Good afternoon.
Congrats on all the progress. Just wanted to dive in a little bit on the customers you mentioned that you were looking at expanding, I think, 100 and 150 megawatts. Could you just a little color on just how that would play out? Would these be the existing sites and maybe put color on the comments about the rate increases?
Sure, Rob. On the expansions, when we started building Polaris Forge II, we started building two buildings, 300 megawatts. We contracted 200 megawatts. We expect in the near term to contract that additional 100 megawatts with the same tenant at that campus. On one of our Delta Forge campuses, we're negotiating, as we mentioned, an advanced stage negotiation with the tenant there for a third building on one of those campuses. As I mentioned in my prepared remarks, we do expect materially higher pricing on both of those expansions, as well as new campuses and new capacity that we sign in the future. We've seen other contracts out. It's great to see pricing moving up in the industry. Just gives a really strong indicator of where demand is out there.
Okay, great. On the Base Electron, how do you see that driving incremental customer demand as that you have the power available in North Dakota that will allow you to capacity there just of what Base Electron does for you?
Yeah. As we mentioned, we've announced that there's 1.2 gigawatts being built in North Dakota. This is all front-of-the-meter on-grid capacity. We're working on another project there in a different part of the state as well. These will go with the utilities that we work with already. They'll deliver that capacity for our data center campuses, but also for other retailers on the regional system. That's a start for Base Electron. We expect that to expand significantly. We talked about our campuses when we first started with them. We signed initial capacity. The physical infrastructure, transmission infrastructure is there to significantly expand the campuses. We need to add some additional electrons. It won't just be us, or it won't just be, sorry, Base Electron that adds additional power generation to the network. We expect a lot of other power generation projects in the region as well.
As that additional generation comes online over the next few years, we'll be able to expand all of those campuses. They all go north of a gigawatt. As I mentioned, one of those campuses goes significantly north of a gigawatt. We're excited about that entire region. We started there. We've had great success building up in North Dakota, we look forward to just continuing to build that. Rob, last, as I mentioned in the prepared remarks, we see clear line of sight to our existing campuses to over 5 gigawatts of critical IT load capacity. A big part of that is the Base Electron generation additions.
Okay. Thank you. I'll turn it over.
Thanks. Your next question is from the line of Derrick Whitfield with Texas Capital.
Derrick, your line is open. Please go ahead. Thank you.
Good afternoon, all, congrats on your commercial progress over the last year. I want to start first with just what you're seeing on the demand side, maybe with regard to the high investment-grade hyperscalers and the next lower tier. Are you guys sensing any change in demand based on inflationary pressures?
We haven't seen that. As I mentioned in my prepared remarks, we're seeing pricing moving higher in the market. I think that's a good indicator of demand versus supply. We still see extraordinarily robust demand in the market across both of the categories that you mentioned.
Great. Just based on your prepared comments, it appears your projects are still tracking in that $11 million-$13 million per megawatt range. With that said, what are the general conditions that would lead you to the lower end versus higher end of that range? Are you expecting any regional differences based on labor conditions in those areas?
Labor is a big issue that we have been solving, and I expect us to continue to solve in almost every region. One of the things that we do on labor. Let me back up and start with the high and low end of the band. The high end of the band, there's some site-specific things that typically go into that. When we start a new campus, you'll typically see our builds at the higher end of that band because we include all campus costs in the first building, first two buildings. That typically includes new substations and transmission on campus, the land, and the power site itself. That tends to drive it towards the high end as we try to work it down over time as we add additional buildings on those campuses.
You mentioned the economy to scale as we go at each individual campus. There's other things, depending on, for example, one of our sites in the south will be slightly higher because of additional dirt work and site prep because of the type of soil that we're dealing with. There's some very specific things that happen from a location-by-location basis. The remainder of what we do is really dialed in at this point from supply chain, from construction process and construction. Labor rates have been fairly steady over the past six months. We do a lot of work in two ways on labor. One, we try to stay out of the most crowded markets. You see it's, we're the only ones that are really building right now in North Dakota.
We have a few other markets that are not as crowded as say like Texas or West Texas or some of the other markets that you have 100 plus projects happening. We try to stay in less competitive markets from a labor perspective. We do a lot of education in those markets. We work with local technical college and vocational schools. We do that right at the beginning. We've been doing that for a while in the Dakotas. When we move into other states, one of the first things we do is work with the local vocational technical colleges. We even work with them to set curriculum. We typically make some donations, but we want to train people up that'll work construction and operations in our facilities.
Great update, and congrats on your success again.
Thank you. Your next question comes from the line of George Sutton with Craig-Hallum Capital Group.
George, your line is open. Please go ahead. Thank you.
Wes, I wondered if you could just talk about the governors to your growth. Obviously, demand does not seem to be one of those governors, when we think through power and supply chain and the number of teams you could handle at any one time, where do you see the governor being?
Yeah. I think, George, that's a great question. Power is definitely top of the list as far as when power is available and how much is-- As we've contracted, I think it's 2.1 gigawatts of utility power over the past year. That's definitely one. It's when is power available and then timing our building to start to match when power becomes available at the location. That's one. Supply chain is another. As we've talked about many times in the past, we worked really well on supply chain a few years ago, locking in a large capacity, for electrical, for all of the energy, the mechanical, electrical, and plumbing. It always does have limits. I think at one point I'd mentioned we had about 700 megawatts per year. That's critical IT load. We have contracted to build over the next couple of years, 1.5.
We're definitely exceeding that a little bit. Those are two definitely of the biggest governors. We have great process from a construction perspective and pace. Our first building on Polaris Forge 1 took us about 24 months from the start of construction to RFS. Our second building on that site was under 12 months. We've really dialed in, and we're just getting better. The team is getting better, with every iteration that we do, in just how we sequence things, how we just make everything much more efficient from a construction process. I feel really good about that piece. Managing supply chain and power are probably the two biggest constraints at the moment.
I wondered, we're obviously in a market that's gotten very cautious relative to AI. Your stock's gotten brought into that, and none of what you're talking about on this call represents some of the concerns out there, relative to the NIMBY and the open model concern. I'm just wondering if you can give us a bigger picture AI thesis as you see it today relative to what the market's thinking.
Sure. Just from the demand side, I think this might sound a little strange, but I think I'm a fairly conservative person, that's why, over the past year, we've really focused on high-quality customers, durable contracts. That was really our mantra, was durable contracts, both from an ability for us to deliver, an ability for our customers to cancel, and then also from an SLA perspective, because if you don't operate the sites well, then almost every instance that I've seen across people in the industry, your customers will have the right to cancel. That's really been the focus, to make sure we get those types of contracts. We build the right type of buildings. We try to make it as absolutely as efficient as possible.
We don't want to skip over things just because it could lower costs because remember, we need to operate these buildings for at least 15 years on the contract, but we think they're 30 plus year assets. We build buildings that we can operate, and we think will meet all those SLAs for a really long period of time. That was the focus was making sure that we had that type of a platform. As far as we focused on high investment grade hyperscalers, investment grade hyperscalers, and those types of companies. What did we purposely avoid? We avoided signing leases with the very large model companies. Those are great companies, but I don't know how that plays out over time. We see this volatility. We saw it with DeepSpeed in 2025.
We see it with Gemini in 2026 now. We see this volatility. Outside of those models, we see the volatility Just with U.S.-based companies. If we were speaking this time last year, OpenAI was absolutely the best. They had introduced GPT-4o in April of 2025, and they were doing extraordinarily well, then it rolled to Google and now to Anthropic. We just really had a focus on the highest quality companies that have the high investment-grade ratings. What appears, George, is happening, whether it's open source or closed models, that's a totally different debate, but they seem to all need a significant amount of compute. They seem to use the same amount on inference or a little bit more on inference. Compute still is the foundational layer.
I feel really good about our positioning in that market and the demand for compute, regardless of which way the world goes from a technology perspective over the next few years.
Awesome. Thanks for the thoughts. Appreciate it. Absolutely. Your next question comes from the line of John Todaro with Needham & Company.
John, your line is open. Please go ahead. Hey. Hey, guys.
Thanks for taking my question and congrats on the progress here. I guess just going back to the earlier question on the growth governor. Wes, I think you've mentioned in the past you could work on seven campuses simultaneously. You're at five now. I imagine, as some get completed, you add other ones. Is that number pushed higher even above seven? Is the currently marketed 1.7 gigawatts, will that be kind of captured within what you could do simultaneously?
Yeah. Great question. Yes, as mentioned, seven before. I will say, I think we can go higher than that. Let's get there and see how it's working. One thing, John, that we don't want to do is overextend ourselves. We want to make sure that we always are in the right position to execute and deliver. That's number one. When I go through the risks were initially signing contracts, then second is delivery. We've got those two dialed in, and then the third is operations. We've been operating the first building for roughly eight months now. That's going extremely well. We're getting all of those things dialed in really well. I just want to make sure that we continue to execute and deliver on time for our customers because it's such a key thing.
I'd rather, if we need to stop at seven, we'll stop at seven. We'll see when we get there and how far we think we can go with managing the construction process. As Jonas had mentioned, there's definitely some limits on supply chain. We've been able to continue to keep expanding that limit. I don't know where that is for certain. It definitely does exist out there as far as that supply chain limitation. I still think we'll see if we get to the seven campuses. We're obviously marketing to that now. If we feel comfortable with that, and then once we get there, we'll see if we feel comfortable going above it.
Understood. Thanks for that. Saied, I think you'd mentioned the NOI margin at 91%. Just wondering if that's kind of more so the target number we should go with for all the contracted capacity or if like the mid-80s, which I think we're at least, is more fair.
As Wes mentioned earlier, right? We try to aim conservative with our margin targets and then obviously deliver to the high end. There's a mix of, right? One, you'll see us as we get a site up and running post the initial RFS date, you should see margins continue to increase. Just one, we get better operating the site. Secondly, there's also, you should see some economies of scale as we have more buildings within a specific campus. That's definitely the goal. The timeline of how we get there for every campus, right, could differ depending on the region, but that's where we're marching towards as well.
Got it. Understood. Thank you both. Appreciate it. Thank you. Your next question comes from Darren Aftahi with Lucid Capital Markets.
Darren, your line is now open. You may go ahead. Hey, guys.
Thanks for squeezing me in. Two, if I may. On Base Electron, can you just give us a general sense for when that capacity might come online? Then Wes, your comments about your North Dakota properties being able to expand to various levels, how much of that is contingent on Base Electron versus just utility growth? Then second question, besides from the 250 megawatts you guys talked about, the marketing of the, I guess, the remaining 15, how would you kind of characterize that between existing customers that have taken down capacity versus maybe some folks who have been left up to alter negotiations? Thanks. Sure. On Base Electron, the timing, that's in 2029 and 2030 for that initial capacity and then continue to ramp from there.
In North Dakota, there's some other projects, there's some transmission projects plus some generation projects that will fill in nicely. We've got a lot to build for 2026, 2027 and some 2028. Then we'll have additional power capacity we think coming online at that time to just continue to expand those campuses. They're both important to meeting that goal, both Base Electron and then additional power projects that are going on in the region and transmission projects. There's a JETx line that runs between Ellendale and Jamestown that will come online and expand the Ellendale power capacity for us as well. Darren, remind me of your last question.
It was more around the power you're marketing right now, like relatively to new customers versus others. Yeah. Yeah. Right now, Darren, just given what we have going on, I would expect that to be new customers.
Fair enough. Thank you. Appreciate it.
Absolutely. Your final question comes from the line of Michael Donovan with Compass Point Research.
Michael, your line is open. Please go ahead. Thanks for taking my question, and congrats on the execution.
Your AI factories are designed to support flexibility in the type and density of compute deployed. What changes are you seeing in recent customer requirements beyond GPUs, particularly for CPUs, memory, and networking?
Yeah. You made a good point about we've made this very flexible architecture that will handle GPUs, TPUs, CPUs. When you get down to that level of detail, though, it really goes customer by customer, and we don't see that type of granularity all the time in what we do. We get specs of how to do this because we're doing the fit out, how we do fit out. We have kind of a general idea of what they're doing, but not enough that I would want to give you insights that you should rely on as far as trends of CPUs versus GPUs and storage amounts.
We do build very flexible facilities, and we work through that on a design perspective to where you can put almost anything that you want to, even if you went back to a standard cloud format with much lower power density, our facilities would still work for that as well.
Appreciate that. Sure. There are no further questions at this time.
I will now turn the call back to Wes Cummins for some closing remarks.
Thanks, everyone, for joining our Q4 call, look forward to speaking with you in October. Thanks. This concludes today's call.
Thank you for attending. You may now disconnect.
