Hubbell Incorporated Q2 2026 Earnings Call

Thank you for standing by, and welcome to the Hubbell Incorporated second quarter 2026 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. After the speakers' presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. To ask a question during the session, you'll need to press star one one on your telephone. If your question has been answered and you'd like to remove yourself from the queue, simply press star one one again. We ask that, in the interest of time, that you please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up. You may get back in the queue as time allows. As a reminder, today's program is being recorded. I'd like to introduce your host for today's program, Dan Innamorato, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead, sir. Thanks, operator.

Good morning, everyone, thank you for joining us. Earlier this morning, we issued a press release announcing our results for the second quarter of 2026. The press release and slides are posted at the investor section of our website at hubbell.com. I'm joined today by our Chairman, President, and CEO, Gerben Bakker, and our CFO, Joe Capozzoli. Please note our comments this morning may include statements related to the expected future results of our company. These are forward-looking statements as defined by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Please note the discussion of forward-looking statements in our press release, consider it incorporated by reference into this call. Additionally, comments may also include non-GAAP financial measures. Those measures are reconciled to the comparable GAAP measures, which are included in the press release and slides. Let me turn the call over to Gerben.

Great. Thanks, Dan. Good morning, thank you for joining us to discuss Hubbell's second quarter 2026 results. Hubbell delivered strong financial performance with double-digit growth in sales, adjusted operating profit, and adjusted earnings per share in the second quarter, as well as year to date through the first half of 2026. Our strong positions in attractive end markets, as well as continued execution on our strategy, are demonstrated by our first half performance. Mega trends continue to accelerate, most notably in data center markets and load growth-related investment in utility T&D markets, we are seeing continued strength in our order book, which gives us increased visibility to our second half outlook.

Operationally, we are managing inflation effectively through price and productivity actions, investing in capacity expansion to serve our customers in high growth areas, deploying capital to further upgrade our portfolio in high growth and margin areas within our core. We are raising our full year 2026 guidance this morning to reflect double-digit growth in organic sales, adjusted operating profit, and adjusted earnings per share at the midpoint of our range. Turning to page four. We are pleased to have closed on the previously announced acquisition of NSI in early June. NSI is a business we know very well and have followed for a long time. It operates in the same end markets with common customers, similar manufacturing processes, and a broad portfolio of critical electrical components with low cost of ownership and high cost of failure.

The acquisition of NSI fits squarely within our overall strategy and enables us to double down on our attractive core while adding another high growth, high margin business to our portfolio. Strategically acquiring a leading electrical fittings brand in Bridgeport fittings fills a key product line gap in our Electrical Solutions segment in a high-value niche. While the Polaris brand complements our leading Burndy brand in electrical grounding and connectors, NSI's exposure in network infrastructure provides opportunity to further penetrate datacom, broadband, and data center markets. We are also confident that the addition of NSI will further accelerate our successful Electrical Solutions segment unification journey, which has resulted in market outgrowth and significant margin expansion over the last several years. Our recent sales force realignment and vertical market investment will enable enhanced cross-selling and deeper penetration into high-growth verticals.

While the leverage of scale and best practices across the two strong businesses will drive long-term productivity and cost savings, enhance service, and optimization of capacity and manufacturing processes. Now let me turn the call over to Joe to give you some more details on the financial impact of the NSI acquisition, as well as our second quarter results.

Thank you, Gerben, and good morning, everyone. From a financial standpoint, we anticipate NSI to be accretive to both the Electrical Solutions segment and total Hubbell's growth and margin profile. We expect the acquisition to add adjusted earnings accretion of approximately $0.20 in 2026 and approximately $0.80 in 2027. Looking further ahead, we are targeting attractive revenue and cost synergies over the next three years, including 2%-3% sales synergies from increased channel and vertical market penetration, as well as approximately 3%-5% cost synergies from leveraging the combined scale of our respective operations, supply chains, IT systems, and back-office capabilities. The $3 billion purchase price was financed with a combination of term loan, a bond offering, and commercial paper. Our pro forma leverage moves to approximately 2.9x net debt to EBITDA following the acquisition.

As we continue to generate strong free cash flow in the second half of 2026 and beyond, we intend to continue aggressively investing in high return CapEx to drive further growth and productivity while also returning cash to shareholders through dividend growth and modest share repurchases. We also intend to pay down significant portions of debt and deleverage our balance sheet over the next 24-30 months, which will drive strong adjusted EPS accretion in 2027 and position our strong balance sheet for further accretive M&A investment over the next several years. Moving to the second quarter results on Slide five. Hubbell's second quarter financial performance was strong, with double-digit growth across sales, adjusted operating profit and adjusted earnings per diluted share. Net sales of $1.712 billion in the second quarter of 2026 increased by 15% as compared to the prior year.

Organic growth of 10% was driven by 6% organic growth in Utility Solutions and 18% organic growth in Electrical Solutions, an acceleration relative to our prior quarters, driven primarily by strong performance in electric distribution and data center markets, supported by capacity expansion investments and incremental price realization. Acquisitions contributed 5 points to growth in the second quarter, driven primarily by DMC Power and a partial month of contribution from NSI. Both high growth and high margin businesses, which are off to strong starts and integrating nicely within our Utility Solutions and Electrical Solutions segments. From an operational standpoint, Hubbell generated $409 million of adjusted operating profit in the second quarter, representing 13% growth versus the prior year, with adjusted operating margins of 23.9%, representing modest contraction relative to a strong comparison in the prior year.

Growth in adjusted operating profit was primarily driven by strong volume growth in high margin areas, as well as the impact of acquisitions. While cost inflation continues to increase, our pricing and productivity actions are keeping pace, and we are confident in our ability to continue to manage this equation throughout the second half of 2026, just as we have demonstrated very successfully over the past several years. We also continued to invest in our business throughout the second quarter to expand capacity in high growth areas and generate future productivity. Adjusted earnings per diluted share were $5.52 in the second quarter, representing a 12% increase versus the prior year, driven primarily by adjusted operating profit growth.

Below the line, higher interest expense associated with the recent borrowings for the NSI acquisition were largely offset by a lower year-over-year tax rate and a lower share count as a result of share repurchase investments made in the first half of 2026. While second quarter free cash flow of $213 million was down relative to the prior year on working capital and timing and acquisition costs, first half year-to-date free cash flow of $259 million was up 12% year-on-year. On a full year basis, we are on track to deliver approximately 90% conversion of free cash flow to adjusted net income, which absorbs the impact of increased capital expenditures and acquisition costs. Turning to page six to review our performance by segment. Utility Solutions delivered another strong quarter with double-digit growth in sales and adjusted operating profit.

Utility Solutions generated net sales in the second quarter of $1.026 billion, which represented growth of 10% versus the prior year and includes organic growth of 6% and acquisitions that contributed 4%. Our larger, higher margin grid infrastructure business grew 7% organically in the second quarter, driven by strong double-digit growth in distribution markets. Transmission and substation growth was solid in the second quarter, and we continued to expect double-digit growth on a full year basis in these markets as large projects ramp up in the second half and capacity investments come online.

In grid automation, we were pleased to return to year-over-year growth in the second quarter, as anticipated, with continued strong growth in protection and controls, most notably in our substation switching products, while meters and AMI revenue grew sequentially and delivered strong orders that position us for continued recovery in the second half of 2026 and into 2027. As Gerben highlighted in his opening remarks, orders were strong in the first half, and while we're not typically a backlog-driven business, our first half book-to-bill ratio of approximately 1.2 times for Utility Solutions is strong and provides high visibility to our second half outlook, where we expect organic growth to improve modestly relative to first half performance. This demand is broad-based across T&D markets, but with particular strength in orders and quoting activity for transmission and substation projects driven by load growth and data center build-outs.

We continue to believe utility T&D markets are in the early stages of a multi-year investment cycle. We are investing proactively in additional capacity to serve the long-term needs of our customers. Operationally, the Utility Solutions segment delivered $263 million of adjusted operating profit in the second quarter, representing 10% growth in adjusted operating profit versus the prior year, with adjusted operating margins up slightly year-over-year on a difficult prior year comparison. Operating profit growth was primarily driven by strong volume growth and acquisitions, while we continued to drive price and productivity actions to mitigate increased cost inflation. Moving to page seven, Electrical Solutions results were also strong in the quarter. On the top line, Electrical Solutions generated net sales of $686 million, which represented growth of 25% versus the prior year. Organic growth of 18% was driven by strength in data center, light industrial, and non-residential markets.

Data center sales were up approximately 65% in the quarter as capacity additions, new product introductions, and content gains drove out growth in a strong underlying market. Our vertical market strategy and sales force alignment initiatives continued to drive commercial success in the data center markets and other high-growth areas of our Electrical Solutions portfolio. The acquisition of NSI contributed $35 million of sales for the partial month of June, representing approximately seven points of sales growth at accretive adjusted operating margins, in line with our expectations. Our integration efforts are off to strong starts. Early order activity has been favorable. Customer response has been positive. As Gerben noted earlier, NSI is a strong strategic fit within our Electrical Solutions portfolio, and we are confident that this business will drive near-term and long-term value creation for our shareholders.

Operationally, the Electrical Solutions segment delivered $146 million of adjusted operating profit in the second quarter, representing 18% growth versus the prior year. Strong volume growth, strong price and productivity realization. Attractive profit contributions from NSI were partially offset by higher cost inflation and increased year-over-year restructuring and related investments within the quarter. Adjusted operating margins of 21.2% were down 130 basis points versus a difficult comparison in the prior year, largely driven by the net margin impact of price-cost productivity, as well as approximately 60 basis points of higher restructuring investment. However, we have continued to take incremental pricing and productivity actions throughout the second quarter, and we are confident that the Electrical Solutions segment will return to adjusted operating margin expansion in the second half of 2026. Turning to page eight to discuss our full-year outlook.

We are raising our 2026 outlook for sales growth, adjusted operating profit growth, adjusted operating margin, and adjusted earnings per share. On sales, we are raising our growth outlook from +8%-11% to +16%-18%, reflecting an additional five points of acquisition contribution from NSI, as well as an increased organic growth outlook from +6%-9% to +9%-11%. We are raising our Utility Solutions organic growth outlook to +7%-9%, largely reflecting strong visibility in T&D as a result of first-half orders. We are raising our Electrical Solutions organic growth outlook to +12%-14%, driven by our increased expectations for data center growth of approximately 50% for the full year, as well as stronger non-residential and light industrial markets.

Our organic growth raise is primarily driven by stronger volumes along with modest incremental price realization relative to our prior outlook in both segments to offset increased inflation. Operationally, we anticipate adjusted operating margins of 23.1%-23.4%, representing 40 to 70 basis points of year-over-year expansion. This outlook includes margin accretion from NSI, accelerated investments in service and capacity expansion to support customer needs in high-growth areas of our portfolio, and increased full-year restructuring investment. We anticipate an improvement in price-cost productivity relative to our prior outlook, driven by anticipated net benefit of $20 million in the quarter, largely as a result of IEEPA refunds, net of potential customer considerations and a slight increase in underlying tariff costs from recent changes to the Section 301 tariff framework. Below the line, increased net interest expense of $170 million is driven by borrowings for the NSI acquisition.

We expect a full-year adjusted tax rate of 22.0%-22.5%, though we anticipate a higher tax rate of approximately 24% in the third quarter, driven by timing of discrete items. We are raising our full-year outlook for adjusted earnings per share from a range of $19.30-$19.85 to a range of $20.25-$20.55, which represents an increase of approximately 4% at the midpoint and a range of 11%-13% growth year-over-year. We anticipate approximately 90% free cash flow conversion on adjusted net income in 2026, which reflects the impact of increased year-over-year spending on capital expenditures and NSI acquisition costs. I'll highlight that our full-year outlook reflects approximately 20% adjusted operating profit growth at the midpoint of our range, reflecting highly attractive underlying operating performance. Now let me turn the call back over to Gerben to provide some concluding remarks.

Great. Thanks, Joe. We are confident in our ability to execute over the second half to deliver on a strong 2026 financial outlook. In the near term, we are focused on driving out growth in our attractive end markets through product and service differentiation, executing on investments to support customer needs, and continuing to effectively manage price and productivity in an inflationary environment. We continue to believe that our utility and electrical end markets are in the early stages of a highly attractive multi-year investment cycle, and we look forward to sharing more details with you on our long-term strategy and outlook in our next Investor Day, which we plan to host at our Utility Solutions Training Center in Centralia, Missouri, on March 4, 2027. With that, let me turn the call over to Q&A.

Certainly. As a reminder, ladies and gentlemen, if you do have a question at this time, please press star one one on your telephone, and we ask that you please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up. Our first question comes from the line of Jeffrey Sprague from Vertical Research. Your question, please. Jeffrey Sprague, your line is open.

Sorry about that. Looks like I was muted. Good morning, everyone. Hi, Jeff.

Gerben, can we just dial a little bit more into the machinations of cyber grid infrastructure? The strength in distribution, I thought, was notable. Kind of wondering there if there's some kind of inventory restock after kind of a destock you've gone through for a while there. Then, on the transmission and substation side, it sounds like it wasn't particularly strong on the top line in the quarter, but obviously you have all these orders. Was there some sort of timing benefit that impacted that part of the business in Q2 that is sort of modifying your view on the second half?

Jeff, thanks for the question. Certainly, strong order rates as we mentioned up 1.2x in the quarter. Pretty broad-based across our business, both from grid infrastructure as well as grid automation. Within grid infrastructure also broad between distribution and transmission. Certainly with distribution up double digits, transmission and substation also growing very nicely in the quarter and accelerating in the second half. That comes through the visibility that we have with the orders and the backlog. The pipeline, certainly the quoting activity continues to accelerate. When we look ahead at the multi-year investment cycle, we see strong momentum. Long-term growth supported by data center and utility CapEx. Our position, a position in this market is really a leading position with the installed base, with spec position, with our reputation. We feel really good. Certainly, as you think about transmission substation, which you point out perhaps being a little bit lower.

We're up high single digits in the first half, and we expect to be up double digits in the second half here. I'd say there's really nothing to read into this beyond, you get a little bit of project timing when sometimes these projects shift. Quarter to quarter may have a slight noise in it. Again, based on what we're seeing in the market, based on our quote activity and our orders and backlog, we feel really good with the increased organic growth guidance that we're given for the year in the second half.

Right. The size of the guide obviously conveys the confidence. Is there anything, though, like kind of the variance around that in terms of supply chain, your own capacity additions or project timing that creates sort of a variable outcome in the second half in your opinion?

I would say nothing really to say on the supply chain. We are continuing to add capacity in our business. Our substation part of the business particularly where we're adding capacity. Again, this is embedded in our guidance, supported by the orders and the backlog. It's why we're confident that we'll see growth accelerating there as we go into the second half.

Maybe just one final one. Maybe it's for Joe. Just thinking about sort of the implicit margin expansion in the back half that's part of the guide here. Would you level load that across the quarter? It's a little bit more back-loaded. I guess you got the tariff refund in Q3, maybe it's front-loaded Q3 to Q4. Just a little bit of color there I think would be helpful.

Yeah. You put your finger on it there, Jeffrey. We're anticipating it is going to be a little more front-loaded given the nature and the timing of those IEEPA tariff refunds and how they roll through. Really confident in that back half margin expansion playing out.

Great. Thanks. Really good there.

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Chris Snyder from Morgan Stanley. Your question, please. Thank you.

You guys talked about in Utility specifically, the first half book-to-bill of 1.2x gives you guys pretty good visibility into the back half. I guess my question is, are you guys starting to build any sort of visibility into 2027? Or is it still too early to see that in the order book in the backlog? Maybe, if you can't see it there, how have customer conversations trended on 2027? Does it feel like you guys can sustain maybe something at the higher end or even above the organic target? Thank you. Yeah, I would say.

Can I go here? We are seeing orders starting to be booked into 2027. That's particularly on the transmission and substation side of the business. Again, if you look at what utilities are doing, they're having to plan well into the future with some of these load growth and capacity that they're bringing online. As we see higher voltage systems, those tend to book out further. Yeah, we're seeing orders being booked in our transmission substation area into 2027. Again, we feel based on both what we're seeing in the order book, the conversations we're having, and if you just think about with what's going on, right? With the data center build-out and the need to add additional load in addition to what we've been talking about for years, which is a system that needs to be hardened.

It's multi-year. Utilities are starting to look further out.

Thank you. I appreciate that. Maybe if I could just follow up on price. I don't remember a much-prepared commentary on this. If I remember correctly, you guys pushed through price, I think it was in April. Can you just maybe talk about the realization of that? Has there been any pushback in the channel to the action? Should we expect more price action here into the back half, just given kind of the clear inflationary pressure that's out there in the world? Thank you. Sure. Good morning, Chris.

Yeah, on the price equation, we did push price through in April, the expectation of that price increase, which was broadly across utility and electrical, we were anticipating about a point of price to come out of that action. At that point was raising our full-year price expectation to about 3 points. Since then, we've experienced a little more inflation, we've gone out with additional price in July. Our expectation for that most recent price increase is to see about another half a point in the back half of the year. Coming into the year, we were anticipating 2 points. We had the April price increase at a point, now we're adding roughly another half a point or so. Kind of think about it like 3-4 points for the full year, Chris.

Thank you very much. I appreciate that.

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Chad Dillard from Bernstein. Your question please. Hey, good morning, guys.

Hey, Chad. Just a question for you guys on your capacity expansion.

Can you give a little bit more color, what verticals are you expanding? How do you think about the revenue unlock, and when do you think that will be completed?

Good morning, Chad. The capacity expansion story is a really important part of our growth initiatives here as we continue to service strengthening demand out in the markets. Our CapEx investment this year, we're anticipating roughly $175 million-$190 million of CapEx, and that's up from our $155 million last year. A lot of our CapEx spend is going towards adding capacity and to adding productivity initiatives, but largely focused on capacity. Over the last couple of years, we continue to bring new capacity online, and every quarter as that gets turned on, we continue to absorb new revenues into that capacity. It's hard to say exactly how much that translates to every quarter, but if you think about on a go-forward basis, bringing on roughly $25 million of new capacity-ish.

It's not always linear, but we'll continue to do that as we progress the back half of 2026 and as we work our way through 2027.

Got you. That's super helpful. Secondly, it sounds like you're seeing a larger slug of projects flowing through. I'd be just curious, how does your win rate on those larger projects compare versus the corporate average? Maybe you can talk a little bit more about your modular approach and then how that helps you win.

Yeah. Maybe starting on the modular, I'll come back to the win rate here, Chad Dillard, it's actually a trend that we're seeing broadly in our business and I think in the market, and it's a lot driven by labor availability and by quality control of something that you can build in a factory setting versus doing it on-site. If you think about our businesses in the electrical side, like data center and the PCX business where we do power skids, or if you think about the substation business with Systems Control where you do the control houses and you're basically building these in a factory environment with good quality control that you then plug and play into a system.

You're also seeing it more on a SKU level and component, DMC is a really good example of a connector where you're crimping the connector onto the busbar. The traditional way of that would have been to do a weld. In the field, now you can do a crimp in the field with less skilled labor requirement quicker. There's absolutely a trend going on, where you're bundling more. We have a great position. If you think about the portfolio and the breadth of our SKUs, there's a lot of opportunities for us to either bundle things together or find solutions how one component can integrate easily with the other. Surely a trend in the market. As it relates to project and project flow, I'd say this has accelerated.

If you look, for example, in our transmission and substation business, the project quotes has about doubled in the last couple of years. That's driven in part by these higher voltage projects where utilities are just looking further out, they're planning these further out, by the strength of our portfolio to be able to offer some of those projects. I'd say the win rate on those is probably similar to what we've seen traditionally, but there's just more of those coming through right now.

Great. Thank you. Thank you.

Our next question comes from the line of Tommy Moll from Stephens. Your question please. Good morning, thank you for taking my questions.

Tommy. Good morning, Tommy. Gerben, I wanted to start with the recent trends in distribution.

Great to see up double digits this quarter, but that's clearly above the trend line for that business. What more can you tell us about what's driving that strength, and what are you embedding for your assumption in the second half there?

Yeah. Thanks. Distribution is off to a good start, I would say. It is a reflection of the strong underlying markets, but also if you recall the stock of the last couple of years, in a year over, I'd say, the comps are still somewhat easy to lap. There's a lot of investment going on into the transmission and substation market, and that's great to see, but underlying distribution markets also remain very strong. The foundation of that strength, and I see that as a long-term positive, is the age of that infrastructure and the need to harden and the resiliency. That still remains, even though it's oftentimes overshadowed right now by the need for load growth. There's a good support for that. You see that embedded in CapEx budgets as well.

We see the underlying market to be strong, but a little bit of comp gain. Longer-term, we see this continue to be attractive and certainly going into the second half and going into 2027, we continue to see over longer term for this to be a mid-single digit plus market.

Yeah. Thank you for that context, Gerben. I also wanted to ask about the recent trends you called out in meters and AMI. I think you said you started to see a steadily improving market there, and maybe some orders suggesting continued growth second half this year, even into next year. That's a very different tone than what we've heard recently, any gaps you can fill in would be appreciated.

Yeah, a little bit. If you think back on what we've said, right? Grid Automation had gone through some declines for several quarters, led by the Aclara business that we talked a lot about. What we had said last quarter, that we expected Grid Automation to return to slight growth in the second quarter, and that indeed happened. The book-to-bill, also there was above one, that gives us confidence that what we also called to see continued growth into the second half, this provides us certainly confidence on that. Specifically, I think your question was on the Aclara one. We're seeing improvement in the project flow there, particularly in the muni and co-op space.

If you recall, this is really an area we refocused on last year to really pivot the investment more to that, to take some of the prior investment that we're making out and right-size the business a little bit. We're starting to see that pay off right now. Small and medium projects, some international projects, that we're seeing that sets us up for growth in the second half, even in the Aclara business right now. Yeah, it's a little bit what we expected to see here, Tommy, but we're certainly happy that it's unfolding that way.

Thank you, Gerben. I'll turn it back.

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Christopher Glynn from Oppenheimer. Your question please. Yep. Thank you.

Good morning, everybody. Hey, on the accelerated data center growth, talked about the impacts of the markets, capacity adds, new products, as well as content. I just want to drill into the content component there. Is that a change in the allocations you're getting for certain product categories, or really an expansion of the scope of your design wins?

Yeah. I would call it more of the same. As we continue to add capacity on core product lines that are going into the data center What's really important in a lot of this, we call it our short cycle data center support business, is if you've got the inventory available, right time, right place, they're pulling it pretty quickly.

We've been very aggressive in adding capacity and making sure we're investing in the inventory on the shelf. That's really supporting our vertical market strategy, which is putting us in the position to select that business, but that's a big piece of it.

Yeah, maybe the only thing I would add there, as you see data centers evolve where there are certainly higher capacity data centers. We're adapting some of our products for those applications. I'd say there's a decent bit of new product development. If you think about our new Pin & Sleeve devices that are going to higher amperage to the 800 volt infrastructure. It contributes as well. Great.

Thanks for that. The seasonality at Electrical Solutions was pretty pronounced. Even if you strip out NSI Industries, it was up about 15% sequentially. I'm wondering if June was really killer in particular. It's often the pull factor and the seasonal strength, I think. If the non-res acceleration, was that just kind of normalizing on project releases? Because I think the trend in those markets where project releases were just gummed up, but now tariffs and different factors have become normalized in the baseline.

I would highlight that there was nothing noteworthy of June relative to the second quarter and that being particularly pronounced. We saw really solid growth over the course of the quarter within Electrical Solutions. In terms of some of the products and projects that we've got slated, we see continued growth and visibility on the Electrical Solutions side, although it continues to remain short cycle, a lot of book-to-bill, and we've got good momentum both on non-res and on data center and light industrial. I would highlight that we have seen non-res starting to click up over the last couple of quarters, and we saw that in the fourth quarter, signs of an uptick. We saw that continued in 1Q, we really saw that gaining momentum.

We're a little cautious to say that that's going to continue to accelerate, non-res has been pretty solid for us.

Great. Thanks for all that color, Joe.

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Nigel Coe from Wolfe. Your question, please. Good morning, everyone.

We've covered a lot of ground already, but I did want to try and unpack the 40 basis points increase in the operating margin for the full year. My wonky math gets 30 basis points from tariff. I'm guessing about 40 basis points from NSI. Maybe you can clarify that. What I'm trying to get at here is, how is the core price cost productivity trended from your initial view? You talked about the price increase in the back half of the year. Just wondering how that's all playing out together.

Good morning, Nigel. Definitely, you're right on the 30 basis points from net tariff. The 40 basis points on NSI squares up with our math. We've got, we'll call it operational, which is really volume growth, which is coming primarily from the electrical side, non-res, light industrial, data center uptick. That's being partially offset by higher levels of investment that we're anticipating making back into supporting all of this growth. That investment, which is partially offsetting that volume growth, is really the other piece of the equation there.

Okay. Understood. The tariff, the $20 million. Does that land disproportionately within Electrical versus Utility? Looking beyond three Q into four Q, do you think Electrical will be back to margin growth in four Q?

First off, the tariff, we would split that roughly half and half between Electrical and Utility, that's going to be concentrated in the third quarter. The second piece of your question around Electrical margin, we do see Electrical margin returning to expansion in the back half, both in 3Q and in 4Q. 3Q will see the surge, with that IEEPA refund dynamic, but we're anticipating continued margin expansion year-over-year in the fourth quarter in Electrical.

I'm sorry. If I'm annoying then just deduct that tariff in 3Q. Will Electrical still be expansion?

I mean, that's hard to reconcile right now, Nigel. We can take that offline.

Okay. We're still dealing with- Thanks a lot the price through the year as well.

Great. Thank you. Thank you.

Our next question comes from the line of Alexander Virgo from Evercore ISI. Your question, please. Thanks very much.

Morning, gentlemen. I appreciate you taking my call.

Morning. I wonder if I could dig into the book-to-bill just that little bit more. 1.2 times book-to-bill implies we're about $2.4 billion in the first half.

I'm guessing that not all of it is expected to be delivered in H2. I wonder if you could just expand that a little bit for us, and maybe help us with any color on duration, and I guess any changing dynamics in terms of customer projects.

Yes I guess keep building that into the end of the year and building up for 2027.

Thank you. Thanks, Alexander. It's hard to exactly do all the math for you, let me try to just broadly talk about it.

We are a short-cycle business, so part of that book and bill, we will see in the second half. It's the reason why we're taking our organic growth guidance up for the second half. As the question came earlier as well of, are you seeing bookings into 2027? I would say part of this is specifically, if you look at the longer-cycle product lines, like in transmission and in substation, there's part of that that's booking into 2027. I would say there, too, it gives us a lot of confidence on our longer-term framework that we've been talking about, that this investment cycle is really multi-year and that we expect to continue to have attractive performance and results longer term.

It's a little bit of both, more confidence and increased expectations for the second half and a good setup for 2027.

Okay. Thank you. Then could I follow up with just a question on the 60 basis points of headwinds from restructuring HES year-over-year? Is that something we need to think about for the second half as well, or is it more to do with the NSI acquisition and integration costs, and therefore, it's more of a one-off? Thank you. Yeah. Not really related to the NSI acquisition.

That just is part of our ongoing electrical segment transformation program. So we're anticipating, as our guidance implied, approximately $20 million of restructuring related in the full year, for which roughly half of that, maybe slightly more than half, was spent in the first half, and a lot of that was in electrical. We continue to invest in that program in electrical, so we're anticipating the back half is also pretty heavily loaded with restructuring-related investments that will set us up and continue to position for efficiency and margin expansion in 2027 and beyond related to that program, among other things. I think that's the most constructive way to think about that restructuring investment in electrical.

Great. Thank you very much.

Yeah. Thank you. Our next question comes to the line of Neil Mehta from UBS.

Your question, please. Hey, good morning.

Thank you. Hi, Neil. Last quarter, you provided some commentary on the high voltage transmission opportunity, the $1.5 billion over 10 years.

Maybe this was part of some of the strength that you saw in book-to-bill in the quarter, but any update you can provide on these projects and the size of the opportunity, as I think some of these projects should be starting around now in the second half of the year.

Right. Yeah. Indeed, you're right. It's pretty broad-based, I would say. We see it where load growth and data centers are going in. That's where the request for interconnections are the highest. Our first 765 kV, which we talked about winning, will start shipping in 2027. We're also seeing 550 kV, which is similarly an application used for these interconnects, that we're shipping this year, in the second half of this year. You're right to point out that it's about happening at later part of this year, then certainly into next year. The quote and pipeline activity is strong. I mentioned earlier, we're quoting about twice the volume that we were a couple of years ago, and a lot of this is driven by those higher kV projects.

Just a reminder of our position in this market, we have the leading installed base of transmission and substation infrastructure. We have the relationships and the capabilities to innovate these higher voltage projects. We're doing this in concert with our customers, specified in that process. We have very capable lab that we use to test and spec these products in with. It's a very attractive area, and we're well positioned. As far as the growth rate, what we talked about a billion and a half opportunity over the next 10 years. If you think about that for our business, given our position, our win rate, it's about a point of additional growth over the next several years.

Thank you. Just one follow-up question on the growth outlook for this year. In grid infrastructure, I believe you said it was expected to be up double digits in the back half of the year. Please let me know if that's correct. The comp gets a lot harder in 4Q, so curious about how to think about revenues sequentially in the grid infrastructure business. Is there any reason revenues in this business can't be up in 4Q, given the momentum you've seen in book-to-bill? Is there some seasonality that will limit growth from 3Q to 4Q? Thank you. Yeah. Grid infrastructure revenue, pacing around double digits for the year, we would anticipate that continues.

You're right to highlight there's a tough comp in the fourth quarter, grid infrastructure continues with its momentum. That's about the right way to think about the back half of the year, including the fourth quarter.

Thanks. Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Brett Linzey from Mizuho.

Your question, please. Hey, good morning, all.

Questions on price cost productivity. The improvement, the net 20 in Q3 sounds like that's all refund. What's implied for Q4 in terms of the refund impact, if any? In terms of any benefit that's more structural from the recent changes on 232 or 301 that might be embedded in the guide or potentially incremental?

I'll take those two. The first one on refund. The refund we're anticipating in the guide is all in the third quarter. If there's any more that sprinkles over, we would certainly update and be transparent about that, but it's all third quarter. In terms of any structural changes to 301 or 232, I'd say over the course of this year, there's been minor changes along the way, nothing of any substance one way or another. There's been some minor pluses and minuses, and I'd say that continued right on up through last week as the 122 sunset and were replaced with a new framework for 301's quick assessment on our businesses, minor impact on a go-forward basis. By and large, over the course of this year, any changes in tariff have been relatively small.

That said, it's still a very inflationary environment, right? We still see copper and aluminum and steel and all the likes inflating this year.

Okay, great. Appreciate that. I guess just on free cash flow tracking to 90% of adjusted net this year, imagine there's some one-timers on M&A and things running through there. How are you thinking about the progression and the ability to get back to 100%+ over the next 12+ months as maybe some of those items roll off?

Yeah, I think over the next, let's say, 12-24, we're anticipating continuing to pace at elevated levels of CapEx. If CapEx used to be less than 2% of sales when we were converting at 100% of net income, what we're now pacing at 2.5%-3% of sales, which is going to have a natural headwind to that conversion rate, which is why we're anticipating kind of pacing around 90% for the next couple of years as we do continue to invest to support all of this growth that's out there in the market that we're talking about, that we do need to add capacity. The other dynamic, obviously, when we've got growth ahead, we have to invest certain amounts in working capital, that's another part of the equation.

A smaller part of the equation, that is another part of the equation there on our conversion rate.

All right, thanks. Best of luck.

Thanks. Thank you. This does conclude the question and answer session of today's program.

I'd like to hand the program back to Dan Innamorato for any further remarks.

Great. Thanks, everyone for joining us. We'll be around all day for calls. Thank you. Thank you, ladies and gentlemen, for your participation in today's conference.

This does conclude the program. You may now disconnect. Good day.